Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Jets / San Diego Over 42
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "over":
The Jets have the best rushing attack in the game, and with Mark Sanchez prone to make mistakes, I expect the Chargers defense to also put some points on the board in this one.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "over" the posted number in four of New York's last five vs. San Diego overall.
On the other side of the field: San Diego (13-3) is the NFL’s hottest team, riding a streak that gave it a fourth straight AFC West title and the conference’s No. 2 seed. With Philip Rivers firmly established as one of the league’s top quarterbacks, the Chargers have a good opportunity to return to the Super Bowl for the first time in 15 seasons.
It comes as no surprise to learn then that the Chargers have seen the total go "over" the posted number in five of their last six overall and in five of their last six in front of the home town crowd.
Bottom line: San Diego has also seen the total go "over" the posted number in eight of their last eleven when playing the roll of favorite; when taking all of these strong O/U trends into consideration, and the rest of these factors, the sharp money in this one is on the OVER!
6* OVER
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