GOOD LUCK
4-Unit Play #504 Take Washington +2 Over Sacramento (7 p.m. EST, Saturday)
How are you going to make a team that is 3-14 on the road a favorite over anyone? We think this line is off and that the wrong team is favored. The Wizards stink but this team has won eight of the last nine in this series straight up and it has covered in four of the last five. Sacramento has lost their ATS magic lately and they have not covered a line in six straight games yet tonight’s line would indicate that they have been playing well. They have not and they just don’t seem to have the confidence they had a couple weeks ago when they were ATS darlings of the NBA. Kevin Martin is back for Sacramento and we think this might disrupt chemistry a bit until he gels with the team.
2-Unit Play #505 Take New Orleans/Indiana UNDER 206 1/2 (6 p.m. EST, Saturday)
The Hornets have been playing some pretty legit defense lately. They have allowed only one team to reach the Century Mark in the last nine games (in regulation) and they have allowed an average of just 96 PPG during that span (with last night’s OT period against Detroit taken out of the equation). Indiana has played a bunch of up-tempo, no defense teams lately and we believe that has caused the oddsmakers to post a number that is too high here tonight. We had this number listed at 204 so we think there is a bit of nice value here. The under is 19-6-1 in the last 26 meetings including 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Indiana.
NOTE: We wanted to take the Clippers tonight getting +8 ½ at home against Cleveland but Chris Kaman’s status is still uncertain. If he is a go, and the line is over 7 we would recommend the Clippers as an opinion play but this selection will not be graded and not count towards our record win or lose. We think there would be some nice value on anything over 7 with Kaman in the game but we just can’t pull the trigger with his status for the game so uncertain.
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