Doc's NFL 12/15
4 Unit Play. #110 Take Under 57 in Arizona at New Orleans (Saturday 4:30 Fox) We will bite on the under and feel this is just too many points for a divisional round playoff game. Arizona put up monster numbers last week against the Packers but I expect the Saints defense to attack them in a different way playing a bend-but-don’t break defense. The Saints have scored just 44 total points the last three games and in two of those weeks they were trying. The Cardinals will not be as effective on the road this week and I just expect the total to reach the high forties, not the high fifties. New Orleans 28, Arizona 21.
4 Unit Play. #111 Take Baltimore +6 ½ over Indianapolis (Saturday 8 pm CBS) The Colts have not been operating well of late and I believe their decision to rest players will eventually catch up with them. Baltimore has one of the best defensives in the league and a strong running attack that can keep QB Manning off of the field. The Colts have not been a strong postseason team, as they have advanced to the Super Bowl just one time despite being one of the top teams in the AFC for close to a decade. Indy has trailed in the fourth quarter numerous times this season and Manning may be able to bring them back on Saturday. But either way, the Colts will not cover this spread. The unsung hero in this game is going to be RB Ray Rice and we expect him to have a big game on Saturday. Baltimore 24, Indy 23.
4 Unit Play. #114 Take Minnesota -2 ½ over Dallas (Sunday 1 pm Fox) The Cowboys are playing as well as any team in the league at the moment but playing in the Metrodome will be their undoing on Sunday. No team has a greater home field advantage then do the Vikings and expect that to become evident on Sunday. The Eagles looked terrible in back-to-back games against the Cowboys but the Vikings have a balanced attack and this will allow them to slow down the pass rush. Minnesota is a perfect 8-0 at home this season, outscoring opponents by an average of 33-16 per game. QB Favre loves the spotlight and expect him to put on a show, allowing the Vikings to advance to the conference championship game. Minnesota 31, Dallas 17.
4 Unit Play. #116 Take San Diego -7 over NY Jets (Sunday 4:30 pm CBS) The Jets got a couple of breaks to close out the regular season by facing teams that had nothing to play for. Their luck will run out on Sunday against one of the best teams in the NFL. The Chargers will enter this game having won 11 straight games and the Jets just do not have the offensive firepower to keep pace in this affair. The Bengals fell apart to close out the season and QB Palmer was way off the mark for the last couple of games. QB Rivers has numerous weapons at his disposal and they can beat you via the air and ground attack. The Chargers have had some playoff success under Coach Turner winning games in each of his two season and 2010 will be no different. The Jets do not get out of single digits, as the Chargers mach onto the conference championship. San Diego 24, NY Jets 6.
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