Burns 1-13
BURNS
Burns' ESPN ANNIHILATOR! (7:00 ET) *1st CBB Total!
Under Total: 132.5/-108
I'm playing on UConn and Pittsburgh to finish UNDER the total. The Huskies blew a 19-point lead in their last game and Coach Calhoun wasn't at all happy. He was quoted as saying: "It's the most heartbreaking loss this year. It's not even close..." I expect him to have his team ready to crank up the defensive intensity here. While this year's lineups have a much different look than last year's, its still worth noting that this has traditionally been a low-scoring series. The UNDER is 3-1 the last four meetings. The three games that stayed below the total had combined scores of 130, 113 and 117. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at 8-4 the last 12 times that these teams faced each other. Both teams can still be tough to score against. The Huskies allow opponents to shoot a mere 37.3%. The Panthers allow opponents to shoot only 38.1%. They're allowing just 58 points per game. The last time that the Huskies were a favorite of this size was their last home game. They held Seton Hall to 35.5% shooting and the game stayed below the total by 20 points. Pittsburgh scores a lot less points than Seton Hall and is also much better defensively. I expect another relatively low-scoring affair. *8 Annihilator
Burns' *10* BEST BET ATS ROUT (7:00 ET) *26-14 L40
Indiana +3.5
I'm taking the points with INDIANA. The Suns are favored largely because they've got the better overall record. However, the Pacers' home record is actually slightly better than the Suns' road record. Indiana is 9-9 at home, Phoenix is 9-10 on the road. Both teams won their last game by identical 105-101 scores. However, the Pacers win was arguably more impressive and was of the "momentum-building" variety. The same can't be said of the Suns victory. That said, I feel the Pacers have an excellent shot at scoring the upset. I say that the Pacers last win was the type a team can build momentum from because they rallied from a 23-point deficit. That came against a Toronto team which had been red hot, too. Prior to that, the Raptors had won eight of 10. With that win, the Pacers are now a perfect 3-0 here at home in 2010. That's got them back to .500 here and they're hungry to climb above the mark tonight. Prior to the win over the Raptors, they'd beaten a very good Orlando team. In other words, if they're capable of defeating the defending Eastern Conf. champs here, they're capable of beating just about anyone. (They also beat the Celtics here earlier in the season - the Celts and Magic are a combined 27-13 on the road) While the Pacers rallied from a big deficit in their last game, the Suns blew a big lead. Facing a Milwaukee team which is now just 4-13 on the road, they Suns squandered a 24-point deficit, fell behind by a point, and hung on to win by only four points. That wasn't anything new for the Suns, either. In their previous three games, they'd blown leads of 13, 16 and 20 points. With the likes of Steve Nash and Amare Stoudemire on the floor, we know that the Suns can score. They also allow the second most points in the league though - only Golden St. allows more - and I believe the Pacers match up well against them. The Pacers, who recently got leading scorer Danny Granger (24.1, 5.9, 2.Cool back, have five players averaging in double-digits and seven players who average nine or more points per game. The Pacers did have some trouble with the Suns in recent years. However, they beat them outright in the last meeting and are 3-1 ATS the last four meetings. They're also a profitable 7-4 ATS the last 11 times that they were coming off a game in which they scored 105 or more points. I expect them to build off the Toronto win and improve on those stats this evening. *10 Best Bet
Reply With Quote
Originally Posted by ZBOIZ
