[jimmyg2727]

15* Miami OH -1.5

[Thirsty P]

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: College Basketball
Game: Kent State Golden Flashes @ Miami Ohio Redhawks - Tuesday January 12, 2010 7:00 pm
Pick: 5 unit(s) ATS: Miami Ohio Redhawks -1.5 (-110) (Game of the Month)

15* graded play on Miami (ohio) as they host kent State set to start at 7:00 EST. How can a 3-11 team be favored over a team that is 10-5? There are numerous reasons and we will go over the dominate ones that make us believe that Miami could win this game by double digits. First, our handicapping model clearly shows that Miami has an excellent opportunity to win this game 4 or ore points. When we provide our research, the handicapping model is a dominant factor in our releases. Yet, it is the combination of the fundamental and technical research that broadens and adds substance to the releases. When we uncover the supporting research it sees to provide even greater confidence that we are on the right side of a money making opportunity. Many times, a model play coincides with the two teams at some performance extreme. The most powerful combination is what the media would term “teams heading in opposite directions” This game is exactly that and more. Kent State is off a strong defensive game allowing a 36% shooting percentage to Ohio U. In stark contrast, Miami is off an 18 point loss at Buffalo installed as a 4 point dog and shot just 35% and allowed Buffalo to hit 50%. In a high percentage of the time teams reverse a poor performance with one that hits season averages or better. The same can be said of Kent State prone toward a weaker than average defensive performance. The last time Miami shot under 40% was on 12/8 versus Temple. They were 4 point dogs in that game and lost by 18. The next game they lost by 4 at Cincinnati and were huge 16 point dogs. As an example of many of the projections we believe will be a certainty is that Miami will shoot very well from behind the arc and this in turn will open up the paint for high percentage shots. They are hitting 37% on the season and that is the minimum we see them hitting in this game. Note that Kent State is just 4-14 ATS when opponents hi between 38% and 45% from behind the arc over the past 3 seasons. Take Miami (Ohio).