triple-dime bet 734 Siena -15.5 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 733 Canisius
Analysis: My 10* LEGEND is on Siena at 7:00 ET. Canisius comes into this game at .500 on the season but they're visiting Siena and the Saints are a perfect 8-0 at home this season. Siena is also the only remaining undefeated team in MAAC action as the Saints are 5-0 in Metro Athletic Association Conference games. Siena blasted the Golden Griffins in the MAAC Tournament last season but revenge will be tough to come by for Canisius. The Golden Griffins just haven't been able to match up with Siena. The Saints win over the Golden Griffins in the Conference Tourney last March took them to a perfect 3-0 against Canisius last season and the average margin of victory was 15.7 points. The prior season Siena also crushed Canisius in both games winning each time by a margin of 28 points. That means the Saints last five wins over the Golden Griffins have come by an average margin of 20.6 points per game. This is why‚ the spread on this game (opened around -15) certainly is not overly imposing. Canisius does not score well, just 65.6 points per game in conference action this season, and the Golden Griffins are up against a Siena team that is averaging 79 points per game at home plus holding opponents to a field goal percentage of 38.4% in MAAC games. The Saints wins this season (all 12 of them) have averaged out to a winning margin of 17.4 points per game. Siena is not just defeating teams, they are crushing them. The Saints are 8-3 ATS when favored this season. The Golden Griffins are just 1-4 ATS the last three season when they are a big dog between 15.5 and 18 points. Canisius did win big on Saturday but that 15 point victory came against Marist who is 1-14 on the season. Prior to that win the Golden Griffins had lost six of their last nine games. A big problem for Canisius this season has been allowing teams to own them on the offensive glass. The Golden Griffins are simply allowing too many second chances when facing strong teams and, of course, Siena is one of the MAAC's best and will take advantage of this weakness. Canisius also has seen their 2nd leading scorer, Julius Coles, struggled while trying to overcome an abdominal problem. The Golden Griffins were able to persevere and still defeat the worst team in the MAAC, Marist, but watch how quickly things turn on them when they now faced the best team in the MAAC. With Alex Franklin and Ryan Rossiter crashing the offensive glass for the Saints in this one, it's just a matter of time before this one turns into a rout. 10* LEGEND
Good Luck...Larry
ness - legend play 1-11
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