triple-dime bet 809 CLE / 810 POR Under 190.0 Bookmaker.com
Analysis: I'm playing on Cleveland and Portland to finish UNDER the total. The Blazers have seen each of their last three games finish above the total. That's kept tonight's number generously high. Additional value has been provided by the fact that the number has climbed from its opener. While many will likely expect the Blazers' recent high-scoring trend to continue, I look for this one to be defensive in nature.
Yes, the Blazers have been involved in some high-scoring games of late, most recently a 107-98 win vs. the Lakers. However, it should be pointed out that they've seen the UNDER go a profitable 7-2 the last nine times that they were coming off three or more consecutive games which finished above the total. Additionally, note that the UNDER is 37-17 the last 54 times that they scored 105 or more points in their previous game.
As for Cleveland, the Cavs have seen the UNDER go 6-2 their last eight games. Most recently, they were upset by the Nuggets, a game that stayed below the total by a touchdown. Including that result, they've seen the UNDER go 11-6 when matched up against a team with a winning record. Note that they've also seen the UNDER go 6-3 when coming off a SU loss as a favorite.
While the earlier meeting at Cleveland was high-scoring, the UNDER is 11-4 the last 15 times that the Cavs played at Portland. While I'm not sure how relevant, as I don't generally pay much attention to how team's fare on a specific day of the week, it's also interesting to note that the Cavs have seen the UNDER go 27-7 the last 34 times that they played on a Sunday. I look for those numbers to improve again this evening. *9 Best Bet