Steve Duemig 1/10
Steve Duemig
Sunday's Winners
30 Dime - Ravens
This will be the second meeting between these two teams. The Patriots won that game 27-21 with a little late drama that could have shown a different outcome. Mark Clayton dropped a pass on 4th down where he was wide open and could have walked into the end zone. That really doesn't have too much bearing on this week but it shows that the Ravens can hang with this team. The Ravens can hang with any team in the league which is why we like them here to cover. Their defense keeps them in every game and they are more than likely getting Ed Reid back which is very big. He seems to always be around the football, especially during playoff time. This isn't the same old Patriots here though either. They seem to feed off the meek of the NFL and struggle with the tough teams.
Offensively the Patriots may have been dealt a death blow with the loss of Wes Welker. Without a doubt he was Brady's favorite target. Welker ate up yards and catches for first downs. That kind of player cannot be replaced, even though Edelman is a decent option but he isn't Welker. The other thing that not having Welker does to the offense of NE is it will now allow the Ravens defense to take away Randy Moss. That my friends is huge!! With Welker you can't concentrate totally on Moss, without Welker you can.
Ray Rice has been invaluable in both the Ravens run game and the short passing game eating up huge chunks for yardage almost every game. He will be asked to do a lot in this game and I look for Belechik to make him the prime target to take away from the Ravens attack. Flacco has some playoff experience which I think will be a big boost as well.He will need his receivers to come up big and help out.
The Ravens may not win here but they will hang and that's all we need. Just Hang around that field goal. Early line move has been toward the dog but I look for the public to stay with the favorite here and so you may get to the 4 which I recommend getting.
10 Dime - Packers-Cardinals Under
Line opened at 48.5 but at the time of writing it is down to 47.5. It was hit fairly early too but I expect the huge volume of the public to help this get back up by kick off. The main thing that should have caught your attention however and it definitely caught mine was that we see a HUGE % of the O/U bets going on the over yet the total moved DOWN. That means that there is smarter money going on the under and since we a re smart that's where we will go as well. I think everyone expects a pass fest here but teams tend to get a little tighter and more conservative in the playoffs. GB is a very good defensive team and they lead the league in turnover +/- Warner is very smart however and I don't think he will be giving them too many ops.
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Originally Posted by jhack704
