Docs Sports NBA - 1/8 **RELEASED**
4-Unit Play #806 Take Memphis -3 ½ Over Utah (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
If you have followed our picks in the past, you know we think revenge is a way overrated facet of NBA handicapping. However, there are certain cases where it does play into our handicapping and this game falls into that category. These two teams played Wednesday night and Utah blew the Grizzlies out at home. This game will be fresh on Memphis’ mind and teams always make adjustments when they play back-to-back like this. With this small line we think the books are begging for Utah money here, especially with the squares to just look at recent results and see Wednesday’s blowout and think this line is a gift. However, we think this line is a gift, but for the other team tonight. Utah is horrible on the road (6-10) while the Griz are great at home (10-5). Memphis has had a very tough and road-heavy schedule lately but they have won seven of their last nine overall and are 7-1-1 ATS during that stretch. Utah has dominated this series lately but four of the last five meetings have been in Utah. We think Memphis makes adjustments tonight and wins this game with an exclamation point.
3-Unit Play #809 Take New Jersey/New Orleans UNDER 189 ½ (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
The Nets went through a phase where they were able to score some points but that phase has obviously passed. They average 90 PPG on the season but have averaged only 89 PPG in their last five contests – a digression we want to take advantage of on Friday. The Nets have only managed to get out of the 80s scoring-wise once in their last five and they even struggled to put up 76 on a terrible Milwaukee defense. This team has reached the century mark only once in their last 11 games. Tonight they face a New Orleans team that has been playing excellent defense, holding their last four opponents to an average of 91 PPG. They have held some pretty good offensive teams in check lately so we think their defense should dominate tonight. If this is a blowout like the oddsmakers think it will be that will be better for us as to eliminate unnecessary fouls in garbage time.
3-Unit Play #808 Take Atlanta -3 ½ Over Boston (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
The Hawks always get up for the Celtics and we think that will be the case again tonight. Atlanta has had some struggles lately but they have had a real tough slate lately and we think their struggles have been a bit overstated by the media – we don’t mind because that provides us with a ripe line to pick tonight. A blowout win against New Jersey was just what the Hawks needed to get back on track and we feel this team enters this game with a lot of confidence tonight. Boston has dropped three of four on the road and they needed OT to get past Miami last time around. This Hawks team is better than Miami and we think they take advantage of the missing Garnett and have a big offensive night here. The Home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
4-Unit Play #813 Take Chicago/Milwaukee OVER 194 ½ (8:30 p.m. EST, Friday)
Milwaukee has been one of the best teams for overs this season and the over has cashed in 19 of their last 27 games overall. Also, the over is 7-2 in the last nine meetings between these clubs. Chicago has been a pretty bad offensive team this season but they have shown signs of progress lately. They scored 108 last time out against a very good Charlotte defense and they scored 101 on Orlando. They have surpassed the century mark in three of their last five overall and they very well could do it again against a Milwaukee defense that gives up an average of 100 per game at home. The Bucks also average 103 PPG on offense at home and Chicago gives up 103 PPG on the road so there is the opportunity for some points to be scored here tonight. The over has hit in 12 of 17 games for the Bucks at home and we just don’t feel like this line is high enough.
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Originally Posted by iMxth3xbossx5000
