For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on Long Beach State:
UC Riverside won 69-67 in overtime over Long Beach State Saturday night; I expect a rebound tonight.
Casper Ware and Greg Plater led Long Beach State (6-8, 0-1) with 17 points each. T.J. Robinson had a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds.
Turnovers made the difference as the 49ers committed 15 miscues that UC Riverside converted for 19 points. The Highlanders committed eight turnovers for eight Long Beach State points; I expect this issue to be addressed for this evenings contest.
It's true that the 49'ers are 1-4 SU their last five, but dating back to last season they are 8-4 ATS their last 12 on the road and are 7-3 ATS their last ten vs. the Titans.
On the other side of the court: UC Davis held off Cal State-Fullerton 67-63 Saturday night; I expect another "letdown" this evening.
Gerard Anderson had 13 points and nine rebounds for the Titans (5-7, 0-1), who lost their seven straight road game.
CS Fullerton is 1-4 SU its last five and always has a tough time at home vs. Long Beach State; 2-6 ATS its last eight vs. the 49'ers in front of the home town crowd.
Bottom line: The 49'ers matchup well against the Titans at key positions; look for LONG BEACH STATE to improve to 2-1 ATS this year when playing the roll of favorite and for CS Fullerton to fall to 2-4 ATS as an underdog!
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons CBB 1/7
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