Troy has won 6 consecutive games coming off a bye week and they have also won 15 of the last 16 games coming off an OVER the total. Troy has won 6 of the last 7 games when the total posted is 63 points or greater and they are averaging over 33 points a games on offense this season.
Don't know if anyone has been following these guys, but they have been hot and legit as of late. I say legit simply because they state the line they're taking and not claiming a loss or a push as a win. They have a 1000* play for the BCS Championship tonight and their 1000* plays are 3-0 this bowl season: Iowa State, UCONN, and Boise St.
here is their write up - which of course looks like a C&P of a few trends of covers match up page.
NCAA Football
1000* Play Alabama (-4) over Texas (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Alabama has won 26 of the last 30 games when playing as a favorite and they have also won 18 of the last 19 games after allowing 14 points or less in their last game. Alabama has won 17 of the last 20 games coming off a conference win and they are only allowing an average of 11 points a game on defense this season