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1 Unit on Phoenix Suns -2.5
The Kings have lost 5 of their last 6 and I think they'll fall again tonight against a Suns squad that will be looking to bounce back from an embarrassing 25-point home loss to Memphis. The numbers are certainly on Phoenix's side tonight as plays on any team off an upset loss by 15 points or more as a favorite, playing with 2 days rest, are 25-5 ATS the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Suns are 12-3 ATS after allowing 120 points or more over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 112.2 to 105.3. Bet the Suns for 1 Unit.
I have seen few teams enter the bowl season annually as prepared as the Iowa Hawkeyes so hats have to go off to head coach Kirk Ferentz and his staff for that. That's a big reason why Iowa is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 bowl games. It's also looking good for Iowa that underdogs are on a 5-1 ATS run in the Orange Bowl. Plus, the Yellow Jackets have lost four straight bowl games. While the Jackets rank 11th in the nation in scoring offense (35.3 ppg), Iowa ranks 10th in scoring defense (15.5 ppg), and it is safe to say that Georgia Tech has not seen a unit as physical and as disciplined defensively as Iowa. If QB Ricky Stanzi hadn't gone down with an ankle injury when the Hawks were leading 10-0 against Northwestern late in the Big Ten season, Iowa may have been Rose Bowl bound, as it nearly won at Ohio State the following week with its inexperienced backup QB. Stanzi is expected back for this game, and I expect him to make the most of this opportunity to get back out on the football field after watching his team struggle offensively in his absence. Georgia Tech is a great running football team, but consider what Iowa has done to such teams under Ferentz. Iowa is 13-1 ATS versus excellent rushing teams averaging >=5.25 rushing yards per carry under Ferentz, winning these games by an average score of 33.9 to 23.0. Iowa is also a perfect 7-0 ATS when playing away from home against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, winning in these spots by an average score of 25.6 to 12.3. The Yellow Jackets are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 bowl games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points and only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a favorite period. Take the Hawkeyes and the points.
Any one have Jimmy Boyds 5* 2010 Bowl GOTY???
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