4-Unit Play #701 Take Orlando/Indiana UNDER 210 (7 p.m. EST, Tuesday)
Indiana has been giving up a ton of points lately and that is why we are getting such a large number here. But the Pacers will face a really strong defense tonight and we are just not convinced they can score enough to get this one over the posted number. This is about as large as a line as you will see in the NBA for a road favorite and we agree this game looks like Orlando all the way. We think Orlando will wind up in the 105-110 range and we just don’t see the Pacers scoring more than 95 tonight. This offense had two good games against two crappy defenses lately – Minnesota and Memphis – but those two times are the only ones where they have reached the century mark in their last 10 games. The Magic have allowed 92 PPG in their last five contests and they have allowed only one team in their last seven games to score more than 100 and that was in a surprising loss to Chicago (the Bulls scored 101). Indiana also plays better defense at home where they shave two full points off their season average. The under is 8-1 in the last nine meetings on this court and 11-5 in the last 16 meetings overall.
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