[tlk23]

http://www.teamrankings.com

Thought that I would keep track of this like I did baseball last year.

Jan. 4th Monday
Winners
69% Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Hornets
58% Portland TrailBlazers @ L.A. Clippers
57% Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat
56% Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls


Wins
56% Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls: Thunder 98-85

Losses
69% Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Hornets: Hornets 81-87
58% Portland TrailBlazers @ L.A. Clippers: Clippers 105-95
57% Atlanta Hawks @ Miami Heat: Heat 92-75

[TRComputer]

tlk23,

FYI, you can go here (http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/mode...r-pick-history) to see updated prediction tracking by week, season, and many other ways. Although feel free to track on your end if you'd like!

Tom
TeamRankings.com

[tlk23]

Not a real impressive start. I'll go through the entire season stats right here http://www.teamrankings.com/nba/mode...r-pick-history. High percentage picks seems to work. Should I do the splits by 5% or 10%? From 55-59%, or 50-59%

[TRComputer]

C'mon now, we're stats guys, please don't tell me you're going to judge us on a sample size of 4 games. :-)

Look to the sidebar on the right and you'll see the 2009 performance...you can see that there's a pretty smooth trend of increasing performance as you go up in higher stars picks. Stars are just a simpler measure of pick confidence...we map the win odds ranges to star picks to make things simpler. (i.e., 50-55% win odds = 1 star)

Last thing -- just to be sure -- note that these are SU picks not ATS.

[lcf]

I admire this website. I've been monitoring their results and it appears to be very interesting. I didn't now they had an account in this forum, so I would like to ask a question.

If you filter the NBA picks by spreads 0-5, the result is much better than 6-10. Is there any particular reason for this? What's the win percentage for the entire 08/09 season for 0-5, 6-10 and 11-15 spreads?

Currently the 11-15 spreads is doing awesome...

Thanks for the great site.

[tlk23]

9-12 the last three days is a bit of a rough stretch, but we will see.

[lcf]

2 stars or better: 32-28 last 21 days

2 stars or better AND spread 0-5: 16-11 last 21 days

[tlk23]

50-54% 32-22 .593

55-59% 48-35 .578

60-64% 52-30 .634

65-69% 64-30 .681

70-74% 52-13 .800

75-79% 45-14 .763

80-84% 34-7 .829

85-89% 11-0 1.000

90-94% 6-1 .857
-------------------------------------------------------
70% and up are 148-35 .809

80% and up are 51-8 .864

85% and up are 17-1 .944
Impressive numbers no doubt. We will see if the trend continues.

[tlk23]

Dec. 22nd 8-1 .889
Dec. 23rd 6-4 .600
Dec. 24th No Games
Dec. 25th 3-2 .600
Dec. 26th 8-2 .800
Dec. 27th 3-2 .600
Dec. 28th No Games
-------------------------------------
Dec. 29th 5-2 .714
Dec. 30th 7-3 .700
Dec. 31st 3-1 .750
Jan. 1st 2-1 .667
---------------------------------
Jan. 2nd 6-6 .500
Jan. 3rd 2-3 .400
Jan. 4th 1-3 .250
-------------------------------
Total: 151-107 (7-7) .585
Last 3 days: 9-12 .429
Last 7 days: 26-19. 578
Last 14 days: 54-30 .643 (13-4, 75% and up .765)

[tlk23]

Jan. 5th Monday
76% Dallas Mavericks vs. Detroit Pistons
75% Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
72% Orlando Magic @ Indiana Pacers
69% Milwaukee Bucks @ New Jersey Nets
66% Charlotte Bobcats vs. Chicago Bulls
66% L.A. Lakers vs. Houston Rockets
65% Portland TrailBlazers vs. Memphis Grizzlies
61% Philadelphia 76ers vs. Washington Wizards
59% Phoenix Suns @ Sacramento Kings
------------------------------------
Wins

Losses