Doc's NBA 1/2/09
3-Unit Play #509 Take Toronto/Boston OVER 193 ˝ (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday)
Toronto has one of the worst road defenses in the NBA and they give up an average of 110 per game on the road. Boston has some key players out tonight and we think this will affect their defensive prowess more than their offense – anyone can really score on Toronto and we don’t see offensive production being a problem for the Celts tonight. Boston averages 103 PPG at home this season and we think they can get there tonight and Toronto should make up the rest to get this one over the posted number. When these teams met in November the total reached 219.
3-Unit Play #512 Take New Orleans -2 ˝ Over Houston (8 p.m. EST, Saturday)
Love the Hornets tonight laying this small number. New Orleans is one of the best home squads in the NBA at 12-3 on the season while Houston, although better than most on the road, is still a .500 road club. They have dropped four of their last six road games and one of their road wins came against New Jersey so that hardly counts. The Hornets have won four straight here and this team just plays with a lot more swagger on their home court and they also tend to clamp down defensively here more than they do on the road.
4-Unit Play #521 Take Golden State/Portland UNDER 210 ˝ (10 p.m. EST, Saturday)
15 of the last 21 meetings in this series have gone under and we had this line pegged at 207 and would have gave the under a serious look at that number so there is nice value here in our minds. Portland is a strong defensive team and they allow only 93 points per game at home. These two teams met in November and the total reached only 202, and that was with Golden State hitting better than 50 percent from three-point land. Portland has not played a non-OT game with a score that combined for more than 207 since late November. Very long injury lists for both teams and we hope that means some out-of-synch offenses tonight.
Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports
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