[lordmohs]

NOTE: I WILL HAVE MORE PLAYS. THESE ARE THE NOON GAMES THAT I HAD TO GET OUT EARLY. THE REST OF MY PICKS WILL BE POSTED AROUND 12:15. CHECK BACK THEN.


2-Unit Play. Take #529 Old Dominion (-3.5) over George Mason (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 2) Loser
This George Mason team has covered three straight lines at the window. But if you look at what they’ve done this year they have not played well. Really, at all. Mason is just 4-6 in their last 10 games. The wins have been by no more than 5 points and have not come against a team in the Top 90. Yeah, they have some close losses to good teams. But they lost. They got rocked by Radford on Wednesday and I just don’t think that this young team is ready for the task today. Old Dominion is a veteran team with a future pro in Gerald Lee. They have won three straight, including a maiming of Charlotte and a stunning win at Georgetown. ODU has the edge here and wins big.

1-Unit Play. Take #535 Baylor (+3) over South Carolina (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 2) WINNER
Over the last two years Carolina has lost to just about every good team that they have played. This year they have lost by double-digits to Boston College, Clemson and Miami. Those teams are good but they aren’t dominating. Baylor has been really good this year. They have won six straight games and have wins over Arkansas, Arizona State and Xavier. They are playing much more under control this year and I think that they have enough in the backcourt to neutralize Devan Downey and way, way too much in the frontcourt for USC to handle.

0.5-Unit Play. Take #525 Pittsburgh (+11.5) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 2) WINNER
Pitt just always plays Syracuse tough and they make a really good underdog. This team hung around with Kansas a little bit earlier in the year and that was without two of its better players on the court. Pitt is not a good team but they just always have been good at attacking the SU zone. The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings and the road team has won six of nine outright. Only two of the last eight meetings (and just three of 10) have been decided by 12 points or more. I think the Orange pull away but I think Pitt has enough pride to stay within 12.


HERE IS THE REST OF THE CARD
3.5-Unit Play. Take #624 USC (-1.5) over Arizona State (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)
Note: This is my Game of the Week.

Yeah, I don't get this line at all. Arizona State wasn't good enough to beat UCLA and has gotten worked over in both of its road games yet now they are suggested to go into USC and beat the streaking Trojans? Huh? I know, the odd line movement should throw me off the game (line opened at 4.0 and has been bet down in a RLM) but I'm not going to budge. Arizona State just isn't very good. When you are counting on Derek Glasser to be your stud, go-to guy you are in trouble. USC now has five guys in double-figures and is the best defensive team in the Pac-10. Dwight Lewis is solid and now has guys to defer to all over the court (like Mike Gerrity and Alex Stephenson). I love the home team in this spot and will be surprised if the Trojans don't get win No. 8 in a row, as they are one of the hottest teams in the country.

2.5-Unit Play. Take #603 North Texas (-1) over Arkansas State (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)
Arkansas State's best player was injured in their last game and isn't likely to play tonight. Not good for a team that is 8-20 ATS in conference play over the last two years and 2-10 ATS at home. North Texas is a solid 12-2-1 ATS in its last 15 road games and I just think that they are the stronger team here.

2-Unit Play. Take #621 Long Beach State (-1) over UC-Riverside (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)
Wait, so LBSU goes into Cameron Indoor, Texas, UCLA, Clemson, South Bend, etc. and plays against top teams in the country and now they're supposed to pee down their legs playing at UC-Riverside? I don't think so. I think I made a mistake with this grading as well. This play should be twice what it is. Long Beach State is the conference front-runner and UC-Riverside is an also-ran. I just don't see how LBSU doesn't go in there and come out with a victory.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #547 Wisconsin-Milwaukee (+16) over Butler (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2 ) WINNERButler has not been a very good double-digit favorite over the past few years and has not been that strong of a favorite period. They blew out UW-Green Bay, but the Phoenix were without their best player. Furthering our value, Milwaukee lost a heartbreaker at Valpo in a game that they had won. I think Milwaukee plays desperate here and keeps this close. I see an 11-point Butler win.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #598 Valparaiso (-2.5) over Wisconsin-Green Bay (8 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)
I went against Green Bay a couple of weeks ago and won with Youngstown State. In that game GB was playing at home - against a team weaker than Valpo - and Rahmon Fletcher played for the Phoenix despite a bum knee. Well, he missed Green Bay's last game at Butler. And if he could suck it up and play against the Bulldogs I doubt that he's going to see the court against Valpo. The Crusaders might pick up some steam. They won a miracle game against Milwaukee this week and now have a hobbled foe coming in off a letdown spot. I think that Valparaiso picks up this win and we collect with them.

1.5-Unit Play. Take #612 Troy (-3.5) over Denver (8:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)
Denver is a really good team but this is still one of the worst road teams in the country. By far, bar none. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games and 1-5 ATS as a road dog. They are now on the road to face one of the most experienced teams in the league and one of the conference's top teams. Denver barely held off Arkansas State without its best player this week for the Pioneers' lone road win this season. Either Arkansas State is better than I think and we're going to lose both of these Sun Belt plays or I'm spot-on here and we could sweep the pair. I like the home team to extend Denver's road woes.

1-Unit Play. Take #531 Gonzaga (+3) over Illinois (1 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2) WINNER


1-Unit Play. Take #563 Wright State (-8) over Illinois-Chicago (4 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2) WINNER


1-Unit Play. Take #574 Louisiana-Monroe (-2) over UA-Little Rock (5:30 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)


1-Unit Play. Take #539 St. Bonaventure (+7) over Marshall (2 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2) Loser

0.5-Unit Play. Take #577 Towson (+8) over Georgia State (6 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #551 Colorado (+8.5) over Tulsa (3 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2) Loser


0.5-Unit Play. Take #627 Idaho (+1) over Hawaii (11:59 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #619 CS-Fullerton (-1.5) over UC-Davis (10 p.m., Saturday, Jan. 2)


These are 5-point teasers:
1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #590 California (-8.5) over Stanford (7 p.m.) AND Take #625 Utah State (-1.5) over New Mexico State (11 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #563 Wright State (-3) over Illinois-Chicago (4 p.m.) AND Take #557 Minnesota (-5) over Iowa (4 p.m.) winner

1.5-Unit Play. Take #613 Boise State (+10.5) over Fresno State (10 p.m.) AND Take #547 Wisconsin-Milwaukee (+21) over Butler (2 p.m.)

1.5-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #531 Gonzaga (+8) over Illinois (1 p.m.) AND Take #557 Minnesota (-5) over Iowa (4 p.m.) winner

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #605 Lafayette (+10.5) over Middle Tennessee State (8 p.m.) AND Take #640 Eastern Kentucky (-6) over Tennessee State (7 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #631 Iona (+12) over Niagara (2 p.m.) AND Take #563 Wright State (-3) over Illinois-Chicago (4 p.m.) winner

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #539 St. Bonaventure (+12) over Marshall (2 p.m.) AND Take #577 Towson (+13) over Georgia State (6 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #541 UNC-Wilmington (+15.5) over VCU (2 p.m.) AND Take #625 Utah State (-1.5) over New Mexico State (11 p.m.)

[ratnerjl]

Thanks for posting

[lordmohs]

Hey Rf, how did you get OD at that number??? You released it 11:30 and the line is at -6

[Dre2109]

Thanks! Heavy line moves on Old Dominian tho o.O

[lordmohs]

RF to be honest all the early lines you posted at the time of release were all off

[lordmohs]

Thanks for clarifying that Old D game

[OdieBoy]

I took O.D. and Baylor teaser earlier. That line OD has been up there in my book way before this release

[Smallstar]

Man Old D is up to -6

[GotWood?]

huge card today, cya at the window

[yupper]

What's the rest of the card?

[jbrent95]

RF, thanks for the clafication.

[GotWood?]

I like La. Tech and Oregon today too.

You know, if there aren't enough games or anything.

LET'S FRIGGIN' GO OLD DOMINION! PLAY SOME DEFENSE!

Think 32 units is enough for me, ODU needs to stop shooting from the cheap seats

[Collecting]

Dang I wanted to play him today but got outa bed wayyyyyyy too late Good luck to the rest of you!

[chase1]

Lots of action. Good luck to everyone.

[av3206]

No way odu covers the are getting crushed

[ebbearsfb1]

odu stinks... i guess the books were right having them as a dog

[av3206]

What are the late picks?

[1st and Ten]

nutty card

[1st and Ten]

Dang I wanted to play him today but got outa bed wayyyyyyy too late Good luck to the rest of you!

Take a look at the remaining games

[1st and Ten]

How about the Zags and Pitt

[Collecting]

No way odu covers the are getting crushed

The Rest for the card is shown above...

[NCAACapper]

Robert Ferringo

[lordmohs]

odu stinks... i guess the books were right having them as a dog

.... still recovering from the new year i see...... odu was favored in the game

[1st and Ten]

come on zags

[1st and Ten]

Zagsssss win

[lordmohs]

Zagsssss win

[yupper]

Looks like your finally sucessfully playing against Illinois-Chicago! Good shit let's go usc

[Collecting]

I think hes going to have a good card today, was bummed i missed 4 games by the time i got outa bed... Hang in there guys i bet he'll be in the Green today.