2 Star Selection
**South Carolina (-4.0) 32 Connecticut 21 (at Papajohns.com Bowl)
11:00 AM Pacific, 02-Jan-10
I'll take South Carolina in a 2-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less (they'd be a Strong Opinion from -5 1/2 or -6 points) and I would lean with the over at 51 points or less.
Strong Opinion
Mississippi (-3.0) 29 Oklahoma St. 21 (at Cotton Bowl)
11:00 AM Pacific, 02-Jan-10
I'll consider Mississippi a Strong Opinion at -3 points or less (a lean at more than -3) and I have no opinion on the total.
Northern Ill 20 S. Florida (-7.0) 24 (at International Bowl)
09:00 AM Pacific, 02-Jan-10
I'll lean with Northern Illinois at +6 points or more and I'll lean under 47 points or higher.
Arkansas (-7.5) 35 East Carolina 26 (at Liberty Bowl)
02:30 PM Pacific, 02-Jan-10
I have no opinion on the side at -7 1/2 or more, but I'd lean with Arkansas if the line goes down to -7 points. I will lean with the Under at 63 points or higher.
After making all the necessary adjustments my math model favors Texas Tech by 9 points with a total of 58 1/2 points, but Michigan State applies to a solid 53-21-3 ATS Bowl situation that plays on bowl underdogs that under-performed during the regular season. I have no opinion on the side or the total in this game.