June Jones' return to Hawaii went very well for Marketwatch. SMU, the biggest underdog of this year's bowl season, rolled up 534 yards of total offense in their 45-10 beatdown of Nevada.
Regular Season Record = 24-18-1 (57.1%)
Bowl Record = 2-1 (66.7%)
Warning to all new readers of the NCAA Football Sports Marketwatch column: in order to follow our selections, you'll need ice running through your veins. Be prepared to take up meditation or acupuncture to calm the nerves. The goal of this weekly column is to highlight games that offer true line value. Often, if a line looks too go to be true, there is a reason. The underlining theme every week is line value. You'll occasionally need the worst teams on the board to come through. We typically buy on bad news and sell on good.
NCAA Sports MarketWatch Games to Watch
Air Force vs. Houston (12/31 - 12:00 pm EST)
Air Force struggled to protect the football in their last game, fumbling twice and throwing two interceptions in a 38-21 loss to BYU. Turnovers also derailed Houston's bid for the Conference USA title, led by Case Keenum's three picks in a six-point loss to East Carolina.
Houston opened as a 5-point favorite at Olympic and are currently receiving 63% of spread bets. SportsInsights' Betting Systems have jumped all over the underdog, triggering six positive Smart Money Plays on Air Force. In this matchup we'll fade the public, and grab Air Force and the five points they're getting.
Air Force +5
So, here's a wrap-up of SportsInsights' analysis of this week's Games to Watch.