227) BOWLING GREEN vs. (228) IDAHO
StatFox Dave says: Bowling Green heads west to face Idaho in the Humanitarian
Bowl. Unless charity is offered from Idaho, this bowl season,
the game looks like an oddsmaker’s mistake. Only a merciful Idaho
team will this game from becoming a compete blowout. In fact the
StatFox Game Estimator predicts a 41-24 Idaho win, forecasting Idaho
to gain over 500 total yards. When Bowling Green gives up 500 or more
total yards it is 0-9 ATS. The Vandals laying only one point is a gift from
the oddsmakers. Take Idaho to the bank.


It’s been 11 years since Idaho played in a bowl game, and the Vandals return to the scene of the crime, looking to repeat their 1998
Humanitarian Bowl win. In that game, Idaho, a 17.5-point dog, pulled off the biggest upset in a bowl game since at least ‘92, beating Southern Miss, 42-35. This
year’s team is 7-5, and boasts the nation’s No. 3-ranked passing attack in yards per attempt, at 9.5. The Vandals had what seemed to be two different seasons
though, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS in their first seven games and 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS in their L5. The opponent is Bowling Green, which shares the same 7-5
mark, but comes in on a four-game SU and ATS winning streak. The Falcons are 4-1 in their L5 bowl games, but lost last year 63-7.
StatFox Forecaster: IDAHO 41, BOWLING GREEN 25



Nebraska was a foot away from an upset of Texas and a BCS berth in the Big 12 title game. Instead, the Longhorns’ winning field goal snuck
inside the upright. Now the Cornhuskers must settle for the Holiday Bowl in San Diego, taking on Arizona. Of course, the Wildcats were seconds away from
upsetting Oregon a few weeks back, which could have meant a Rose Bowl berth. In that regard, this could be the disappointment bowl of 2009. Nebraska is 9-4,
Arizona is 8-4, but it is the Pac-10 rep that is the one-point favorite, which could be big as the chalk has won the last three games in this bowl series, both SU and
ATS. The ‘Huskers are 0-3 all-time vs. the Pac-10 in bowl games. Arizona is on a three-game bowl win streak.
StatFox Forecaster: NEBRASKA 25, ARIZONA 19