B l a c K W i d o W / B i l L Y o u n G 12/29/2009
6* W ido w W iseg uy Badgers/'Canes Champs S port s B ow l S urefi re on Miami Hurricanes -3.5(-110 at betus)
Miami is certainly the more talented of these two teams, and they have a bit of a home-field advantage here playing down in Orlando, Florida. Miami began the season unranked, but leaped to ninth in the AP poll after a pair of opening wins over ranked opponents - the first time the Hurricanes were ranked in the top 10 since the final regular-season poll of 2005. Miami (9-3) won four of its last five, closing the year with a 31-10 victory at South Florida on Nov. 28. Now the Hurricanes are looking to secure their first 10-win season since 2003. QB Jacory Harris could put up big numbers against Wisconsin, which is ranked 66th against the pass at 219.9 yards per game. Wisconsin is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games over the last 3 seasons. The Badgers are 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. Wisconsin is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) versus good rushing defenses - allowing <=120 rushing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. The Badgers' strength is their running game, but that is also the strength of the Miami defense. The Hurricanes' strength is their passing game, but that is also the biggest weakness on the Wisconsin defense. So this match-up favors the Hurricanes across the board, and that's why it should finish in a blowout in Miami's favor here tonight. Take Miami and lay the points.
5* W iseg uy Big Ten G AM E OF THE W EE K on Iowa +13(-104 at 5dimes)
Iowa started off the season very poorly, but with their struggles has come some nice line value as this team has really improved of late. They have won back-to-back games, and have lost only once by more than 10 points in their last 7 contests. Purdue is undefeated this season, but with each win comes even higher expectations from odds makers, expectations they will not live up to tonight. They are asked to lay 13 points on the road in Big Ten play, which is asking a hell of a lot. Purdue did win at Iowa the last 2 seasons, but by just 4 and 5 points, respectively. That's significant because the Boilermakers have the same 5 starters that they've had the last 2 years. Purdue is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. The Boilermakers are 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997. Take Iowa and the points.
4* on Minnesota Timberwolves +11(-108 at 5dimes)
The Timberwolves are playing their best basketball of the season right now, and this is the time to back them as they are constantly overlooked by the odds makers. This team is 9-6 ATS in road games this season, and have won back-to-back games including 4 of their last 7 games overall. This is a young team, but they are finally starting to gel as a team now that we are nearly halfway through the season. Minnesota is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons. The Timberwolves are 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The San Antonio Spurs are a putrid 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season. Take Minnesota and the points.
4* on Detroit Pistons -4.5(-110 at bookm)
Yes, the Pistons have struggled this season, but a big reason has been injuries. With a healthy Ben Gordon back in the line-up, the Pistons are back to full strength for basically the first time since the start of the season. The Home team is 17-8 ATS in the last 25 meetings between New York and Detroit. The Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference. The Pistons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite & 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Detroit is very hungry to put an end to their 7-game losing streak, and they'll end it emphatically Tuesday with a blowout home win over the Knicks. Take Detroit and lay the points.
4* on Hofstra -1(-110 at bodog)
Florida Atlanta has lost 3 straight games by 13 or more points. They'll lose a 4th straight here Tuesday against a Hofstra team that is a solid 7-5 on the season. These teams have a common opponent this season, and that is Manhattan. Hofstra held Manhattan to just 39 points in a victory, while FAU allowed Manhattan to score 73 points in a loss. We really like Hofstra's defense here, where they have held each of their last 5 opponents to 38.6% or worse from the floor. Hofstra is 3-0 in their last 3 meetings with FAU. FAU is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons. Hofstra is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after playing a game as favorite over the last 2 seasons. Take Hofstra and lay the points.