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    Default Nelly's Greensheet Newsletter 12/29

    EAGLE BANK BOWL @Washington D.C. 3:30 PM
    Ucla (-5) Temple (46)
    A costly final game loss cost the Owls a chance at the MAC Championship despite a 7-1 MAC
    record. Temple faced one of the weakest schedules in the nation and only defeated one fellow
    bowl team but it was a great season from a program that is only a few years removed from
    being at the bottom of the college football world. UCLA gambled taking this bowl bid as they
    would have sat out the postseason had Army upset Navy. This will be a rare game for UCLA
    on the east coast and a chance to showcase the program to a new audience and a fertile
    recruiting ground. It was a rough season for the Bruins but winning three of the final four
    games gets UCLA back in a bowl game in Rick Neuheisel’s second season. It is a far drop
    from a team that started 3-0 with three quality non-conference wins however and a team that
    was projected to be a sleeper contender in the Pac-10. Both teams featured shaky QB play
    despite making bowl games but Temple certainly featured a more reliable running game. The
    Bruins faced a tough slate of run defenses but too often mistakes in the passing game have
    led to losses for the Bruins. UCLA was out-gained in seven of the final nine games of the
    season and for the Owls this will be a huge game making the first bowl appearance since
    1979. Temple beat a Pac-10 team in that game and although the schedule raises a lot of
    questions this is a team that posted impressive scoring numbers and seemed to improve as
    the season went on. Temple out-rushed nine of its final ten opponents and the Owls could be
    an underdog with an edge on the ground in this match-up. The ‘over’ actually hit in the final
    seven games of the season for Temple and while UCLA has been the ultimate ‘under’ team
    more scoring could take place in this match-up as the Bruins defense is a bit overrated and
    Temple might have trouble getting stops with the big jump in talent. TEMPLE BY 3

    RATING 1: Temple (+5) over Ucla
    RATING 2: ‘OVER’ (46) Ucla/Temple



    CHAMPS SPORTS BOWL @Orlando, FL 7:00 PM
    Miami, FL (-3½) Wisconsin (58½)
    The Badgers pulled off an impressive upset in Coach Bielema’s first bowl game but the last
    two years have resulted in disappointing efforts. Wisconsin was actually bumped down a
    notch in the bowl order as the Outback Bowl chose Northwestern despite Wisconsin’s superior
    record and the Badgers will return to the site of last year’s disastrous 42-13 loss to Florida
    State. Wisconsin is an impressive rushing team led by John Clay but the Badgers are a team
    that can be one-dimensional as the passing game has been inconsistent and QB Scott
    Tolzien can be interception prone. The Wisconsin defense has had several impressive
    performances however and the Badgers are a couple of close games from finishing with an
    even stronger record. Miami got a lot of attention early in the year but proclamations that ‘the
    U’ was back proved premature. The Hurricanes have impressive and intimidating talent but
    Miami has struggled in most recent bowl games. These teams have very similar numbers
    statistically with Wisconsin having slight edges on both sides of the ball but the much tougher
    schedule for Miami must be taken into consideration. The Wisconsin secondary could be in for
    a long day as Miami passed for 268 yards per game on the year but Jacory Harris did also
    throw 17 interceptions. The Badgers should control the trenches in this match-up and decent
    protection should be afforded in passing situations. Both offenses should have some success
    as the high total indicates but the motivation edge should be with Wisconsin as Miami was
    insulted to be placed in this bowl, being leaped over by a 6-6 Florida State team for the Gator
    Bowl. Wisconsin travels well and the home state edge may not be as great as expected
    playing in Florida. This game has to feel like a letdown for Miami when the Hurricanes were in
    the national conversation and highly ranked much of the season before a couple of losses
    came through while this will be a proving ground for a Badgers team that has endured
    postseason disappointment the past two years. WISCONSIN BY 3

    RATING 2: Wisconsin (+3½) over Miami, FL

  2. #2

    Default

    From gg's tracking:

    OVERALL: 8-8

    1*: 4-2
    2*: 3-3
    3*: 1-1
    4*: 0-2

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