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Bowl Tech Plays

UCLA-TEMPLE “UNDER”
Occasionally there are “totals” trends that are just too hard to ignore. So it goes with UCLA, the nation’s most reliable “under” performer. And the Bruins again seem worth a recommendation in their preferred “under” mode when traveling across country to face Temple in the EagleBank Bowl at Washington’s venerable RFK Stadium December 29. UCLA was not only “under” 0-2 this season, but “under” 14 of its last 16, 17 of its last 20, 22 of its last 28, and 25 of its last 32 since midway in the 2007 campaign!

MIAMI-FLORIDA
Big Ten teams have not exactly acquitted themselves well in the postseason lately, recording a subpar 6-9 bowl spread mark over the past two seasons, and standing sub-.500 vs. the number in most all bowl categories over the past several decades. We don’t expect that to change much when Wisconsin (a loser of its last two bowls) faces Miami-Florida in the Champs Sports Bowl at Orlando’s Citrus Bowl December 30. The Badgers have also not distinguished themselves lately as an underdog for HC Bret Bielema as they used to for Barry Alvarez, dropping 9 of their last 13 spread decisions as a dog. And the Canes have experienced enough spread success on the road (8- 5 vs. number last 13) to warrant a hard look in Orlando.

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UCLA vs. TEMPLE (EagleBank, December 29)...Ugh! Neuheisel’s first
bowl since ‘02 Sun Bowl with U-Dub vs. Purdue. He lost 3 of 4 bowls with
Huskies after winning all 3 bowl tries with Colorado. Al “Touch of” Golden 8-
3 vs. line TY and 16-7 since LY vs. number. Al “Touch of” Golden also 8-2 vs
number last 10 as dog (3-0 TY). Neuheisel 5-1-1 as chalk at UCLA but two of
those shouldn’t count vs. WSU, and Neuheisel a poor favorite earlier in his
career. Note Bruins also “under” 10-2 TY and 14-2 last 16 on board! Although
Owls “over” 8-3 TY. Tech edge-Temple and “under,” based on team
and “totals” trends.



WISCONSIN vs. MIAMI-FLORIDA (Champs Sports, December
29)...Clemson (now at Music City) or Miami (now at Champs Sports) likely
quite upset for having to cede claim to the higher-profile Gator Bowl to make
room for Bobby Bowden’s last game. Wisconsin visits site of LY’s demolition
bowl loss vs. FSU in Orlando. Bielema only 4-9 vs. spread his last 13 as dog
(1-1 TY). Canes 8-5 vs. line away past 2 years. Tech edge-Miami, based
on team trends

[LLXC]

From gg's tracking:
1-4 IN BOWLS