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  1. #1

    Default Marc Lawrence Playbook Newsletter 12/29

    4* BEST BET
    Wisconsin over Miami Florida by 10
    The Hurricanes head up the Florida Turnpike in search of their first 10-win season since 2003 and their first bowl victory in three years. It won’t be easy for Randy Shannon’s bunch as they face a Wisconsin squad eager to avenge a 42-13 beating they suffered in this very same bowl last year. Bret Bielema’s Big Ten bullies had trouble with the speed of FSU last season and we don’t doubt that Miami’s athletic offense is a concern for the Badgers’ 17th-rated defense. However, the Canes ‘D’ will encounter problems, as well, with a Wisky offense that is averaging over 200 yards both on the ground AND through the air. Dogs with a ‘double-deuce’ offense have always been “magic” in our “kingdom” and our PLAYBOOK.com database agrees that this second straight trip to Orlando should be a charm for the men from Madison. For an appetizer, dogs in the same bowl game that lost the previous year are a solid 9-2 ATS versus an opponent off a double- digit win. Dogs in the last 10 Badgers’ bowl games also chip in with a profitable 7-3 ATS mark. Now let’s get to the main course. The Hurricanes are a Minnie Mouse-like 3-28 ATS as favorites in games in which they allow 24 or more points. That doesn’t bode well against a Wisconsin team that has scored 28 or more points in 10 of 12 games this season. The Canes have also failed as favorites off a SU and ATS win when tackling a foe also off a SU and ATS win, posting a Goofy- like 0-9 ATS record. Still hungry? Take a bite out of Miami’s 0-6 ATS log off BB SU wins versus the Big Ten or its 9-16 ATS mark as favorites under Shannon when facing an opponent that averages 130 yards or more on the ground. In fact, under their 3rd-year HC, the favorite in Miami games is a grumpy 11-24-1 ATS. In case those numbers only whet your appetite, we’ll top if off with this Crème de la Crème: the Badgers are a perfect 6-0 SU and ATS as bowlers off an ATS win of eight or more points. This year Orlando is the “happiest place on earth” for Bielema and company.

  2. #2

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    Ucla over Temple by 1
    Let’s call this one the ‘Back Door Bowl.’ What does it say about the state of
    your football program when you have to wait on freaking ARMY to lose
    to Navy before you clinch a bowl bid? At the very least, last-minute travel
    plans and lack of fan support will make this like a road game for the Bruins.
    And we can’t ignore UCLA head coach Rick Neuheisel’s curious attempt at
    motivating his 6-6 team when he said, “Most of our players have never
    been to Washington, D.C. and this will be a chance for them to learn what
    makes our country great.” Huh? At least Bill Cosby, Temple’s most famous
    grad, didn’t mince words when he talked of staging a Philly-style welcome
    for the Bruins on what should be a chilly afternoon. “We will take them
    on open boat rides across the Delaware River in horizontal snow without
    top coats and hats,” Cosby said. “They will have a George-Washingtoncrossing-
    the Delaware experience.” The Coz has been all smiles since his
    downtrodden Owls posted their fi rst winning season in 19 years and ended
    a 30-year bowl drought. Kudos to Temple head coach Al Golden who has
    built this team from a 1-11 start in 2006 into one of the country’s most
    physical, aggressive squads. The Owls boast a stout rushing defense (109
    yards per game) and an offensive line that averages 6-5 and 318 pounds.
    Operating behind the ‘O’ line is the ‘Bernie and the Bug’ running game:
    RB Bernard Pierce, the 2009 MAC Freshman of the Year, and 5-5 Matt ‘The
    Bug’ Brown. UCLA counters with a strong stop unit that allowed only 21
    PPG and the Bruins own this year’s Lou Groza Award winner in kicker Kai
    Forbath. However, it’s Neuheisel’s pedestrian offense that may prove to
    be the difference in today’s matchup – and our database supports that
    observation. UCLA is only 12-20 SU in its last 32 games and the Bruins
    staggered to a poor 1-6 SU and 2-5 ATS mark versus fellow bowlers this
    season. In fact, we don’t understand why the left-coasters are chalk at a
    site that favors the Owls… especially with Temple a moneymaking 8-3 ATS
    in ‘09. But success is a two-edged sword: should Golden win today, he’ll no
    doubt move up the list as the hot coach everybody wants next season. Like
    Cosby says, “The headhunters will be coming now.” Until then, we’ll look
    for Al’s Owls to cash one last golden ticket before year’s end

  3. #3

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    From gg's tracking:

    6-5 IN BOWLS

  4. #4

  5. #5

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    At approximately what time does he usually release his picks?

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