[LLXC]

Separating for 12/28...

5 Unit Play. #46 Take Chicago +7 over Minnesota (Monday 8:30 pm NBC) Chicago 24, Minnesota 20. The Vikings and Bears both enter this game with major issues and, thus, we expect this to be a close game that goes down to the wire. We will take the points, as this will be a cold weather game and QB Favre has not done well in recent years in this type of environment. Coach Smith will likely be back next season but he does not want to get blown out in the last home game of the year. Minnesota cannot run the football of late and QB Favre is starting to press along with his receivers. The Bears did lay an egg last week against Baltimore but one must remember they had issues getting to the game because of the snow storm in the Mid-Atlantic. This is a national TV game and the Bears will put forth a good effort and keep this game close. The line is about three points off the mark and I expect Chicago to win this game straight-up. Getting points is just an added bonus. Chicago 24, Minnesota 20.

[av3206]

so when lang comes in with the vikes who do you fade?

[NeVa_CaSh]

I agree they are the right side but u have to play small units because cutler could give it away 4 timmes he is so unpredictable u have to figure it into your wagering strategy

[Scorpion]

I agree they are the right side but u have to play small units because cutler could give it away 4 timmes he is so unpredictable u have to figure it into your wagering strategy

I agree
so can Favre
Its that time of the year for Favre, cold december games means a ton of stupid mistakes by Favre

[shantystar]

right!!

[marabdl86]

Cold weather aint good for old bones

[ex50warrior]

Cold weather aint good for old bones

Man, can I relate to that!!

[stuartfl]

I'm laying off. May play Dr. Bob's strong opinion with Georgia and the Over.

[HenPrivilege]

5 unit play. Doc is fading Lang. He knows what's up.

[bigpapa89]

i feel if the saints would have won yesterday, i would be all over the bears, but with the vikings playing for homefield and the bears looking bad i think ill go with favre and the vikings tonight and try to get it at 7- and buy the hook

[LLXC]

3-Unit Play #702 Take Charlotte -4 ½ Over Milwaukee (7 p.m. EST, Monday)

These teams have similar records and that would seem to justify this line tonight. However, we think that there is value on the Bobcats since they are a very strong home team – in fact, they play as well as home as anyone in the NBA and they would be a major playoff factor is they could duplicate their home success when playing on the road. This team has also been underestimated by the oddsmakers at home and are on a 24-11 home ATS push stretching back to last season. Milwaukee has been pretty lousy on the road (3-9) and they have dropped five of their last six overall. Just think this number is a bit too small.



2-Unit Play #706 Take Memphis -5 ½ Over Washington (8 p.m. EST, Monday)

Memphis is another team that is traditionally underrated by the oddsmakers at home (16-5 ATS L21 home games) and we like them tonight against a Washington team that just doesn’t seem to have much of an identity this season. This team has won two of its last three and three of its last five but this team has had to have had one of the easiest schedules in the NBA recently. Memphis has also won three of their last five and all three of those wins came on this same court. And, also, Memphis has covered in six of the last eight meetings and won the last two straight up.



3-Unit Play #707 Take LA Lakers/Phoenix UNDER 215 (9 p.m. EST, Monday)

*NOTE: This was a 4-Unit play at 217 1/2 but we lowered the value due to some late line movement right before posting.

The Lakers have the ability to score some points but we think they often get lumped into the same category as teams like Golden State and Phoenix that love to run but play no defense. We beg to differ and we really like the way this Lakers team defends and they give up only 96 points per game. That this total is so high is telling us that they expect neither team to defend and we just don’t think that is the case and although we expect some points to be scored here we expected this number around 212 or so. These two teams met earlier in the month and the total wound up under 200 and there wasn’t really anything out of the ordinary for the numbers in that game (shooting percentage, ect.) . Think there is some nice value here tonight.