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  1. #1
    mp5070's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 09-13-08
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    SBR Points: 418
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    Default Goodfella 12/27

    double-dime bet 121 DEN 7.5 (-110) Bodog vs 122 PHI
    Analysis:
    ((NFL GOW Play))

    Yes Denver is coming off a HOME LOSS to the Oakland Raiders last week--and I believe we are getting some "line value" due to that result. Denver is FLAT OUT battle tested and they have beaten several top teams this year--as they have a home win over New England and THREE very impressive ROAD WINS over Cincinatti, Dallas and San Diego...and the Broncos have faced 8 teams with a winning record this season. Denver controls their own destinyˆ for the wild card spot and a trip to the playoffs--and they have the #3 ranked defense in the NFL, and more importantly for this particular matchup--is Denver ranks #2 in the NFL against the pass....which is clearly the Eagles strength. Philly has been crusing along...piling up huge numbers along the way recently..but taking a closer peak at the 5 game win streak...we see the ONLY TEAM with a Winning record among those 5 Wins is the NYG. Philly has a solid "D" as well--but they rank just 12th in the NFL and Denver has some prolific weapons on offense as well with Marshall and Moreno and QB Orton has really stepped up this season and has been playing very well. I really like the points here with Denver, as I like the way they matchup with Philly and I like that Denver NEEDS THIS GAME more than Philly does. Also of note is; long time All-Pro Brian Dawkins makes his return to where he played for 13 years and you know he will play very well in this spot. I just see GREAT VALUE with Denver here and I wouldn't rule out a outright win from Denver either. Grab the points with Denver here fellas!
    150pts

    SBR POKER TOURNEY7th Place 5/25/2012


  2. #2

    Default

    thanks mp5070! good stuff here!
    175 pts

    3-QUESTION
    SBR TRIVIA WINNER 05/24/2012


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