[WhiZzer]

STEPHEN NOVER
Sunday Tripleheader

100-Dime Total of the Year: Over Ravens/Steelers
60-Dime Value Chalk of the Year: Falcons
20-Dime Bowl Bonus: Kentucky

[jhack704]

geez cant miss out on this one, bet your house kids and wife here hahah

[lucky888gunz]

from RX:

100-Dime OVER Baltimore/Pittsburgh - Baltimore-Pittsburgh matchups are traditionally low-scoring with plenty of running and fierce hitting.

But that's not going to be the case in this game. Both teams will be attacking vulnerable secondaries.

Baltimore's secondary has serious issues with two of their top three cornerbacks out, along with star safety Ed Reed. These spots are filled by role-playing backups not capable of shutting down Ben Roethlisberger and his bevy of good receiving threats.

Pittsburgh's defense hasn't been the same since losing star safety Troy Polamalu. The Steelers were 4-1 with 10 takeaways when Polamalu has played. They are 3-6 without him with just six takeaways.

Joe Flacco has become a much better quarterback than he was as a rookie last season. His completion percentage has gone from 60 to 64 percent and his touchdown throws have gone up from 14 to 19. He also has thrown fewer interceptions than last year.

Making it tough on the defenses, too, is they have to respect their opponent's ground attack. Ray Rice is one of the best all-purpose backs in the NFL, while Pittsburgh's Rashard Mendenhall has developed as an emerging force. He needs just 22 yards to reach 1,000. He's averaging nearly five yards a carry.

Weather can be a problem this late in the year in Pittsburgh. But while there is a chance of snow, temperatures are supposed to be in the 30s with winds just 5-10 mph.

60-Dime Atlanta Falcons - Despite really having no chance of making the playoffs, the Falcons desperately want to win this game and their finale against Tampa Bay on the road next week so they can finish 9-7.

If that occurs, the Falcons would finish above .500 for two years in a row, something they've never accomplished in their 44-year history.

The Falcons are so serious about that they're risking franchise quarterback Matt Ryan, who has a toe injury. They also haven't ruled out star running back Michael Turner, although he has an ankle injury. They are willing to gamble on these key player's long-term health in order to reach this goal.

Turner isn't likely to play, but his replacements can gouge a Buffalo defense that ranks last versus the run.

But this isn't just a play ON Atlanta. It's also a huge play AGAINST Buffalo.

The Bills won't make the playoffs for the 10th straight year. They've played their three division rivals during the past four weeks and finish at home against Indianapolis in a game that could get a lot of media attention if the Colts are in position to go undefeated.

So this is a real flat spot for the Bills traveling to a dome stadium in a warm-weather city after a hard-fought home division loss to hated rival New England.

The Bills have been decimated by injuries and now they're down to third-string quarterback Brian Brohm. If you thought Ryan Fitzpatrick and Trent Edwards were bad, wait until you see Brohm. He makes Fitzpatrick and Edwards look like Peyton Manning and Tom Brady.

Brohm was a second-round pick of the Green Bay Packers two years ago. He was so bad - trouble reading defenses, holding the ball too long and being unable to adjust to the speed of the pro game - the Packers cut him.

Packers general manager Ted Thompson almost never cuts a rookie. For him to cut a second-round draft choice after just one season tells you all you need to know.

Making it really tough for Brohm, in this his first NFL start, is Buffalo has a makeshift offensive line because of multiple injuries.

20-Dime Kentucky Wildcats - If Clemson could have stopped Georgia Tech on the final drive in the ACC title game, the Tigers would be competing in a BCS bowl instead of this Music City Bowl in Nashville.

Clemson isn't excited about this game and neither are its fans. Ticket sales have been 4-to-1 in favor of Kentucky.

The Wildcats are a very live 'dog. They are battle-tested being in the SEC where they faced many of the top-skill position players in the nation. Despite being in the toughest conference and dealing with multiple injuries, the Wildcats still managed seven victories.

Now the Wildcats are healthy. One of the players they have back from injury is senior quarterback Mike Hartline. He gives the Wildcats a passing presence to go with mobile Morgan Newton.

Kentucky has a balanced attack. The Wildcats averaged 193 yards rushing per game and their offensive line only allowed 15 sacks. Derrick Locke and Randall Cobb give Kentucky a solid 1-2 running punch. Cobb averages 6.4 yards per carry and also is an excellent pass catcher. Locke averages 4.8 yards per run and is a dangerous kick returner.

Underdogs have been golden so far in the bowls. This matchup should prove no exception. Kentucky has won its bowl game each of the last three years. The Wildcats are 9-2-1 against the spread in their last 12 non-conference games. Clemson, by contrast, has failed to cover the past four years in its bowl games, losing straight-up the past three seasons.

The Wildcats are excited about this game. The same can't be said for Clemson. If Kentucky can keep dangerous C.J. Spiller in check and not commit turnovers, it should win this game straight-up.

[jhack704]

lookin good actually