Marc Lawrence
triple-dime bet 130 WAS 7.0 (-110) Bookmaker.com vs 129 DAL
Analysis: Play On: Washington Redskins (Game 130)
Note: The Cowboys invade the nation's capital to take on the Redskins in an NFC East Division battle Sunday night with Dallas looking to make it two wins in a row, while Washington looks to rebound following Monday night's embarrassing 33-point home loss to the Giants. We can’t envision the Cowboys suddenly turning on the switch this time of the season. Last week’s upset win at New Orleans aside, Dallas’ December woes are well chronicled. What’s not known is this: since 1996, the Cowboys are 4-13 SU and 1-16 ATS in games from December out versus an opponent off a loss, including 0-8 ATS in division games. Dallas is also 2-11 SU and 0-13 ATS in games off a win from December on out. Thus it’s no surprise to learn that Tony Romo is 3-14 ATS in his NFL career in games from December out, including 0-9 ATS off a win. It’s been tough enough for Dallas when taking on Washington when the Cowboys are off a win (1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS). It’s even worse knowing Cowboys are 5-13 SU and 3-15 ATS as favorites in games off a SU underdog win when facing an opponent with revenge, including 1-7 SU and 0-8 ATS on the road. The clincher, though, comes from our powerful database. It tells us to: Play On any NFL home dog of more than three points off an immediate home loss of 25 or more points. That's because teams in this role are 25-8 ATS, including 11-0 ATS when hosting a division foe that won 11 or less games last season. Looking back we find a Washington squad that, prior to its embarrassing home loss last week, was playing its best ball of the season, riding a 5-game ATS win streak. In those games, the Redskins owned a pair of SU wins and three SU losses - by‰ a combined total of just seven points! Couple revenge with a huge Dallas lookahead to the Eagles next week and week see them reverting right back to their losing ways in December tonight. Grab the points with the Redskins. We recommend a 10-unit play on Washington
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