Marc Lawrence


NFL Guaranteed Pick

Guaranteed Plays

Matchup: San Diego at Tennessee
Time: 7:30 PM EDT (Fri)
Play: San Diego (+3 -110)
Line Source: Bet365
Posted on: December 23, 2009 @ 11:19:45 PM EST

Play On: San Diego Chargers (Game 101)
Note: When the Titans host the Chargers Christmas night in Tennessee they will take the field as a 7-7 team trying to secure a playoff spot, despite a horrific 0-6 start to the season. With no less than seven teams sitting on a 7-7 fence heading into Week Fifteen of the 2009 season (six in the AFC), our database tell us these dead-even .500 teams are 'play against' propositions when installed as favorites, gong 2-13 ATS off a win when facing .300 or greater opposition, including 1-8 SU and 0-9 ATS since 1998. To further complicate matters, Tennessee finds itself in the last leg of a 3-game home stand, a role in which hosts are just 31-51 ATS since 1990 when playing off a pair of wins. With the Chargers still battling for home field supremacy in the upcoming playoffs, look for the Chargers to make it 18 straight wins in December while improving to 6-0 ATS in this series here tonight. Take the points with the better team. We recommend a 3-unit play on San Diego.