He's on Washington but only as a strong opinion at +3 -115 odds.
WASHINGTON (+2.5) 23 NY Giants 19
21-Dec-09 05:35 PM Pacific Time
The Redskins have been a pretty good team all season long, but they really struggled turning yards in points early in the season. That started to change when veteran offensive coordinator Shermin Lewis was brought in and the Redskins have been particularly good lately, with 5 consecutive spread wins and an offense that has scored 24 points or more in 4 of those last 5 games. The Redskins have out-gained their opponents 5.3 yards per play to 5.0 yppl this season and I currently rate the Skins as average offensively and 0.3 yppl better than average defensively. New York is 0.5 yppl better than average on offense and 0.2 yppl better than average defensively with their current personnel, so the Giants do have an advantage from the line of scrimmage. However, it's not enough of an advantage to be favored in this game. Both of my math models pick this game even and a few good situations favor the Redskins in this game. Home underdogs that have scored 24 points or more in consecutive games are 79-39-5 ATS from week 6 on, including 66-28-5 ATS when facing a team with a win percentage of .800 or less. The Giants are just 2-6 in their last 8 games and are coming off a loss last week to the Eagles. Teams rarely bounce back on the Monday night road, as teams with winning records are just 19-44-1 ATS in Monday night road games if they lost the previous week, including 0-16 ATS for road favorites of less than 7 points. I'll consider Washington a Strong Opinion as an underdog of less than 3 points and I'd take the Redskins in a 2-Star Best Bet at +3 or more (at -115 odds or better).
btw - he's been on fire the past 4 weeks with his best bets. He went 1-0 this week with Carolina. Won his strong opinoins on TB and Carolina last night.
Anyone have Dr. Bob for MNF game?
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