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  1. #1

    Default JM NBA v1 12/21

    12/21 Cleveland [B]
    Phoenix

    Veryfied by mail.

  2. #2

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    Yes, what do u people think about this game, can Cleveland make it? I'm worried....

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    to me, the "better" teams, especially those with a heavy public following, are the ones who are dangerous under JM's NBA. CLE is definitely one of those teams. You just get no value from the books because they know they can get the same action by moving it 2 points against the Cavs. Tough play. Let's hope the squares are on PHX.

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    Cle can anyway Lose with 6points, and cle have won the 3 earlier games this season, if they Lose tonight i'm almost back at scratch om My bankroll

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    Suns are just as public at home where they have zip, zero losses. Value is with Cleveland especially after losing last night to Dallas without Dirk Diggler.

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  8. #8

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    I'll think I will reverse this bet and play the Suns as my B-bet

  9. #9

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    Fading JM over the last 3 would have been $$$, todays game is a close call. Im staying away from it.

  10. #10

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    clev is going to lose. no dirk=no problem if dirk is playing, they would get blown out by 20-30 pts.

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  12. #12

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    it is good to see that lang is on the suns!!!!!!!
    go cavs!!!!!!!

  13. #13

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    With Shaq the cavs are just not a great team, he is a hall of famer, but just is too slow, and the chemistry just is not there yet and may never be.

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    I'm staying away too. all things considered, Cle getting beat by dallas without Dirk, back to back, suns 10-0 at home, rested, both teams are typically public favorites, tight lines.....just to many variables.

  15. #15

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    And JMs daily basketball pick is Phoenix. His email states that he's sure that cleveland will pull away with this series, usually he gives you a bit more confidence for the game of the night. He's fading his own system play and not really standing up for the system play. I don't quite know what to do yet.??? I've not seen this before.

  16. #16

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    I'm not a pro, and Cleveland may end up winning this game outright, but as far as the PUBLIC betting Phoenix, that's just not true. In fact, 75% of the bets is on Cleveland, yet the line has gone from Phoenix -2 to Phoenix -2.5. Phoenix seems like the right side to me.

  17. #17

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    Quote Originally Posted by bking View Post
    I'm not a pro, and Cleveland may end up winning this game outright, but as far as the PUBLIC betting Phoenix, that's just not true. In fact, 75% of the bets is on Cleveland, yet the line has gone from Phoenix -2 to Phoenix -2.5. Phoenix seems like the right side to me.
    75% is on Cleveland because its a JM B bet. I'm not saying Cle cant pull it off, i'm saying its really hard to get comforable with this one.

  18. #18

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    Quote Originally Posted by dogs1972 View Post
    I'm staying away too. all things considered, Cle getting beat by dallas without Dirk, back to back, suns 10-0 at home, rested, both teams are typically public favorites, tight lines.....just to many variables.
    Every game people pick and choose half the time they are right half the time they are wrong.
    Why do you guys follow a system if you are jumping off and on all the time.

    Sac just lost game A and didn't look like they should cover game B yet won handily.

    Best of Luck however you "choose".

    I'm sticking with "the system".

  19. #19

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    Quote Originally Posted by bking View Post
    I'm not a pro, and Cleveland may end up winning this game outright, but as far as the PUBLIC betting Phoenix, that's just not true. In fact, 75% of the bets is on Cleveland, yet the line has gone from Phoenix -2 to Phoenix -2.5. Phoenix seems like the right side to me.
    Sure would like to know where you guys pull your figures out of.

    75% are not on Clev.

    I am looking at different sites and they say Pho 60% Clev 40%.

    you are misleading people with YOUR false information.

    If you want to wager on Pho then do so but please don't make false statements to justify yourself.

    Best of Luck whatever you do.

  20. #20

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    Need just one Christmas present and that is more people fading and questioning these bets as much as possible. Thanks.

  21. #21

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    There's so much confusion here. I'm out. What a cluster phuck of doubt. C ya later.

  22. #22

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    When deciding to play or not play a JM system bet, there are only two filters that should influence your decision:

    1. Road record filter - Do not play if the team has the best or worst road record.
    2. Injuries filter - Do not play if the team's best player is injured.

    That's it!

    The System does not consider as filters the back to back games on the three-game series, or heavy public action on one side, or opposite line movement, or perfect home record for the home team, or "gut-feeling", or any other thing that you would normally do with handicapping a game.

    There are so many doubts here because people are bringing in all kinds of unrelated filters in their decision-making. Don't worry whether the road team your betting on got blown out on the A bet, or that the home team has a perfect ATS home record, or that 80% of the people are on the home team, etc. All these factors are irrelevant to the system.

    Just check the road record and injuries filters, and that's it. When playing the system, one thing you should never do, and that is to fade the system. You can decide to play or not play a series, and that's fine, but you should never ever fade, especially if you're on the B or C bet. As far as I'm aware, there is no extensive back-testing information that supports a profitable season based on a selective playing of the system, that is, playing and fading on the same series (ex. playing the A bet, and fading the B bet).

    So, if you are going to play the system, play it exactly as it is supposed to be played. Do not fade, and do not introduce your own filters, otherwise just don't play the system at all, cause there is no good back-testing information that supports playing the system selectively and with irrelevant filters.

    Good win with the Cavs tonight! Grats to those who played!

    netinfo

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  24. #24

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    Tonight is time for Atlanta and Philadelphia to bring in some more wins to us who Follow the system,
    i got -5 on Atlanta and +6 on philly after buying 3 points at Bet365, anyone WHO got better?

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    Easy winner last night - it was a B bet and people were treating it like it was a future on the Rams to win the Superbowl - Clev is one of the best teams in the NBA - I will take them +6 after a bad loss anytime!!

    Congrats to the winners last night!! Another B bet tonight on Hawks - can't wait to hear about how the Twolves are so bad and 98% of the action is on Hawks or whatever the anti-JM people are gonna say.

    Stick with the system and play it - and only it - religiously and you will be plus money - which in the end is really all that matters right?

    Lets get them again tonight!!!

  27. #27

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    Hey did anyone see JM personal plays (Daily Picks) he actually had Phox!!!! I am trying to find the post but what a con artist. Seriously you are gong to bet against your own system play! If someone can find that post...post it as that will show people how he does business. I mean his systems are great (or whoever made them) but now he is going to at least guarantee one win and maybe middle to get another win. especially when you have to buy three points each way. Just be careful

  28. #28

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    Found the post as I could not find it for some reason when I posted a little bit ago

    lordmohs


    Joined: 11-11-09
    Posts: 176
    SBR Points: 238
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    JM Daily Basketball picks 12/21

    John Morrison's pick(s) for December 21 2009
    Phoenix -2.5 This game is against Cleveland at 9:00 PM ET
    Utep +3 This game is against Oklahoma at 6:30 PM ET

    yesterday 1-1
    since 12/15
    6-6
    nba 3-3
    ncaa bb 3-3


    Lang is on phoenix

  29. #29

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    if these daily plays win more than they lose (net profits) for the season it will be pure luck. i bet he'll hover around 50% but lose the juice as a best case scenario. please track cause i am curious.

  30. #30

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    Why do you guys bother with his "daily picks"? Who cares?
    We know how he operates. His Daily's are average 50/50.

    This thread is for his "system" picks.
    There have been at least 5 or 6 times already that buying the points has won the system play in which case his daily's would have won also if he picked both.

    Stick with the system.

    Best of Luck.

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