[fantastic4]

BEN BURNS

I'm playing on Dallas and Cleveland to finish UNDER the total. I successfully played on the Mavericks to finish 'under' the total a couple of times last week. On 12/14, I played on them to go 'under' vs. the Hornets - a 14 point winner. Two days last, on 12/16 at Oklahoma City, I again played on them to finish below the total. Despite some late fireworks that was also a relatively easy winner. I passed on their last game, thankfully, as it sailed 'over' the total - a 116-108 loss vs. Houston. Off that poor defensive effort, playing with 'revenge' vs. an elite defensive team from the East AND likely (curently listed as doubtful) without Nowitzki, I expect a return to their low-scoring ways.

Note that the Mavs have seen the UNDER go 4-1 the last five times that they were coming off an upset (SU loss as a fav) loss and 6-2 the last eight times that they were attempting to avenge an earlier loss.

Yes, the earlier game (Cavaliers won 111-95 on 11/28) was high-scoring. However, that was at Cleveland. The last four games between these teams, here at Dallas, have finished with 176, 181, 177 and 178 points. Not surprisingly, all four of those games stayed below the total. Looking back a bit further and we find the UNDER at a profitable 12-3 the last 15 series meetings, here at Dallas.

I already mentioned that the Mavs have been involved in some low-scoring games recently - they've seen five of eight dip below the number. That's been even more the case for the Cavs. In its last game, Cleveland combined with Milwaukee for a mere 167 points. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a profitable 10-5 in the Cavs' last 15 games.

I don't normally pay much attention to what day of the week it is - at least in terms of how teams perform. However, if nothing else, the Cavs tendency to play low-scoring games on Sunday is "interesting." Check this out. With last week's game (barely) staying below the tota, the Cavs have now seen the UNDER go 25-6 their last 31 games played on a Sunday. Looking back further and we find the UNDER at a highly profitable 79-39-2 their last 120 Sunday games. The Mavs have also been profitable for 'under' bettors on the "Lord's Day." They've seen the UNDER go 70-48-5 their last 123 Sunday games, including 17-9 the past 2+ seasons.

Both teams have also shown a tendency to play low-scoring games at this time of year. The Mavs have now seen the UNDER go 25-14 their last 39 games played in December. During the same stretch, the Cavs have seen the UNDER go 24-14 in their 38 December games. I expect another defensive affair. *9 Non-Conf TOW

[Tekkitee]

Classic Ben burns Total: Under

[ijenpo]

When ever you see a capper go 11-0, I think it's a good time to start fading because there's no way they'll be able to continue the streak.

[Deuce]

Your boy buried me for 175 large.

[NeVa_CaSh]

ben burns has burned me so much started with the grey cup and continues with this between him and bookie bill i have had a miserable weekend .........merry christmas WHERES THE TYLENOL