Ace-Ace 12/20
$300.00 Take #309 New England (-7) over Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Patriots have dominated this series against the Bills and have been at their best in Buffalo. The have covered five straight trips to Orchard Park and the visitor is 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings overall. Buffalo simply isn’t a very good team and New England is gearing up for a playoff push. This number is about three points light.
$800.00 Take #316 New York Jets (-6.5) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Falcons are due for a letdown after their game with their big rivals, New Orleans, last week. They should again be without their starting quarterback and running back and since they have already been knocked out of the playoff picture they don’t really have anything to play for. The Jets are still in the thick of things in the AFC. And with their pressure defense and their strong running game they will be a tough team to beat over the next few weeks.
$300.00 Take #329 Minnesota (-9) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
The Vikings won by 10 points last year when they met Carolina. That was a much better Panthers team and the Vikings had Gus Frerotte at the quarterback position. Minnesota still wants to lock up that first round bye and if New Orleans happens to lose on Saturday then the Vikings will be right back in the race for home field advantage. Their defense should be able to shut down the Panthers running game and I don’t think that Matt Moore will be able to beat them.
$600.00 Take #305 Green Bay (+2) over Pittsburgh (4 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
This play is from my 99 System. The Packers continue to play very good football and are trying to solidify their spot in the playoffs. They won a big road game last week and now have to face a Pittsburgh team that has lost five straight games. This Steelers team is nowhere near the level of the team that won the Super Bowl in January but the betting public is having a hard time letting go. The Packers are 18-7-1 ATS on the road and they are 10-4-1 ATS as a road dog. I think that they drive a nail through Pittsburgh’s season and get us a big score.
$300.00 Take #313 San Francisco (+8.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
San Francisco has been great in the role of big underdog this year. They almost beat Minnesota in Minnesota and almost beat the Colts in Indianapolis already this year. They have two wins over Arizona and only lost by six at Green Bay. They play their best football against the best teams in the NFL. I think that this line is an overreaction to two blowout wins by the Eagles over two bad teams. San Fran is 8-1-2 ATS in its last 11 games against teams with a winning record.
$300.00 Take #318 Baltimore (-11) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Dec. 20)
Chicago has nothing to play for and could get blown out by the Ravens this week. The Bears are 0-6 ATS in their last six games and just 1-8 ATS in their last nine games. Chicago is 1-10 ATS as an underdog and 5-15-2 ATS against a team with a winning record. The Ravens blew out Detroit last week and showed no mercy. They will do the same this week.
$600.00 Take #331 New York Giants (-3) over Washington (8 p.m., Monday, Dec. 21)
This is part of the 99 system. The Giants have owned this series recently and have won six of the last seven meetings. And of all of those games that they have won none were closer than six points. Washington has covered some spreads but they are still just 2-7 SU in their last nine games. This is another team that doesn’t have anything to play for and I think that the Giants will continue to play hard. The favorite is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings and Giants are 22-7 ATS in road games.
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