Steve Duemig 12/20
Sunday sweep
40 Dime - 2-Team Teaser: Green Bay & Philadelphia
(Make the Packers a bigger underdog at Pittsburgh while reducing the price you're laying with the Eagles at home versus San Francisco)
There is no better time to play a teaser than this one because of a couple of major factors. First we have the struggling Steelers who the oddsmakers are showing no respect, opening them up at -1 which is less than the standard field goal HFA if these two teams were considered equal. With the opening line as it was the oddsmakers is telling us that they consider GB the better team here, so why not move them up to an even bigger favorite. Secondly we have the Eagles who are red hot, playing at home and there is a major winter storm on hand. Now we have SF after playing on a Monday night, having to come all the way EAST!!!! The only positive is that the game has been moved to a 4;15 eastern start which would be more similar to their body clocks for a home game in California. So we will move the Eagles down though 3 key numbers the 7, 4 and 3 to 1.5. This is vital when considering teasers. You want to cross as many key numbers as you can when moving the line in a teaser by 6 points. The main numbers in doing that which will allow you to cross that many numbers.
10 Dime - Southern Miss
This line opened at 3 and moved immediately to 3.5 which means early and big support for the favorite. Takes a bunch to come off a key number of 3. There has been no movement of this line either so that means that no one has attempted to buy back the hook. That further strengthens our stance that there is major support on S.Miss
5 Dime - Broncos
Lets face it. We will normally not ever support teams laying this many points but whenever we see a third string QB starting against a superior defense, you MUST jump on it. This is simply a case where all the sharp money will support Denver here and probably the public will join them in this one. There is no chance for Gradkowski to play here and Oakland has told Russell to stay on the bench, so they will go with Charlie Frye who has done nothing this year but run scout team. Denver still trying to hang with the Chargers will not have any mercy on the Raiders in this one. Get on this one early and even thought you aren't getting the best number you want to get the best one available to you before everyone else gets to it. you could find a 13.5 out there but I don't see any danger in this one unless Denver plays like Arizona did last week and commit 8 turnovers.
5 Dime - Ravens
Baltimore continues to drive for a playoff spot and the Bears keep sinking lower than the low. Then you have the problems that the Bears faced in travel, not even getting there until the day of the game and this one has all the signs of a major blowout.
AS ALWAYS POINTS WOULD BE GREAT.
Reply With Quote