Play: Central Florida (+3 -110)
Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:40:12 AM EST
The game between Rutgers and Central Florida is one of those classic early bowl hookups where the better team is favored, but the weaker squad has a great chance to win the game and is the value play. Actually, the oddsmakers kind of tipped their hand on this one when they installed UCF as the favorite on the opening number, knowing full well that was going to attract Rutgers money, and that's precisely what has taken place. I totally agree with the assessment of the Bookmakers and believe Central Florida will win the game. First off it's a virtual home game for UCF and from what I can gather, there's not a whole lot of pop among the Rutgers fan base over this less than spectacular matchup. The Scarlet Knights would have gotten a more prestigious bid had they not dropped their finale to West Virginia. On the flip side, UCF will be very well supported and the team seems very excited about the challenge. Beyond that, UCF is a bowl underdog that allows fewer than 100 yards per game on the ground, and this has been a huge winning angle for many post-seasons. That means the dog fits both statistically and from a likely motivational standpoint, and those two factors put me squarely on Central Florida plus the points.
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