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Detroit Pistons at Oklahoma City Thunder
Bet: Oklahoma City Thunder -4.5

The Thunder come into this one having lost three straight, but those losses came against Dallas, Denver, and Cleveland -- three pretty damn good teams. The Thunder should be pumped up for this game, with a three-game road trip up next against Houston, the Lakers, and Phoenix. I mentioned OKC has lost three straight. Two of those were at home. In the last one against Dallas, they lost by 14 as a 2-point dog, which means it was a double-digit ATS loss (lost to the spread by 12). It should be noted that OKC is a perfect 3-0 ATS this season when playing off a double-digit ATS loss. Kevin Durant shot just 4-of-18 in the loss, as he finished with 12 points and four rebounds. Expect a strong bounce-back by Mr. Durant tonight.

On the flip side, Detroit is just 3-10 on the road and they're coming off back-to-back road losses at New Orleans and Houston. Rip Hamilton may miss this game with a hamstring problem. Ben Gordon may also miss this game with an ankle injury. These two met in Detroit on 10/30 and the Thunder pulled the upset, 91-83. And Detroit did have Ben Gordon and Tayshaun Prince for that matchup.

The Thunder are 5-1 ATS this season as a home favorite of four points or more. This is OKC's best shot at a win for a while with that brutal three-game road trip looming. I expect a very strong effort from the Thunder against a banged-up Detroit team that just doesn't get the job done on the road. Take Oklahoma City