[tinfw17]

MTi's HOUSTON - DALLAS SIDE SELECTION!!

Matchup: Rockets at Mavericks
Pick: ROCKETS +5 (-110)

Analysis: The Mavs are off an easy 100-86 win over the Thunder. Nowitzki has 35 points and eleven boards, but he had more turnovers than assists. This is not a good sign for the Mavs chances here. Dallas is 0-9 ATS after a win in which Dirk had double-digit rebounds, but more turnovers than assists, failing to cover by an average of 11.2 ppg. In their last two, they lost to the Nets and Warriors as a favorite.

This is the third match-up between these two this season and the Mavs have won and covered both, shooting 55% and 65% from the field. The Mavs can be flat in this situation and, of course, the Rockets will be motivated to compete with a rival that has dominated them in the first two meetings of the season. Dallas is 0-7-1 ATS as a home favorite and when facing a team they beat in their previous two match-ups of the season. The one time they faced the Rockets in this situation, they lost 113-93 – remember, they were a home favorite every time. AND, Houston is 5-0 ATS on the road when seeking revenge for a loss as a home favorite in which they allowed at least 50% shooting from the field, covering by an average of 16.7 ppg.

The Rockets are off a 111-101 loss to the Nuggets in which they turned the ball over TWENTY times and allowed Denver to shoot 58.3% from the three-point line. Houston was in a bad spot against the Nuggets, but here they should be more focused. The Rockets are 9-0 ATS (+7.0 ppg) as a dog after a double-digit loss in which they committed at least twenty turnovers. and 12-0-1 ATS as a rested road dog by at least 3 points after a game in which they had at least five more turnovers than their season-to-date average.

More Specifically, Houston is 9-0 ATS (+7.7 ppg) after a loss on the road in which Chuck Hayes had more turnovers than assists and 5-0 ATS (+6.7 ppg) with at least a day of rest after a loss in which Tracy McGrady had more turnovers than assists.
Finally, the Rockets are 20-1-1 ATS when they are off a loss in which their opponent attempted at least ten three-pointers and made more than half of them. Their lone ATS loss in this situation came back in the 2001-02 season. In their lone active date in this situation this season, the Rockets beat the Lakers 101-91 getting 9 in LA. Nice. Grab the points and consider a moneyline play as we expect an upset.

MTi’s FORECAST: Houston 98 DALLAS 94

[ugk]

Do you know if this is a 4.5* or a 5*? Thanks in advance
ugk

[jbrent95]

UGK,

The above play must the 4-star play.

The MTI 5-star play is Denver +1 over New Orleans (paid and confirmed by me).

[bigpapa89]

what is MTIs year long record?

[ugk]

Thank you very much--i added some points for you.
Ugk

[jbrent95]

I don't have a record plus I only play the 4.5- and 5-star plays. The last 5 that I've played are 0-5. but I'm 4-5 overall.

[bigpapa89]

nice.. torelli is on dallas too...