Doc's NBA 12/18
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE!
3-Unit Play #501 Take New Jersey/Toronto UNDER 203 1/2 (7 p.m. EST, Friday)
The Nets have been a little better offensively lately but they are still ranked dead last in the NBA in the three major offensive categories – points per game, shooting percentage and three-point shooting percentage. Toronto has a really bad defense, however they play much better on that end at home (or at least allow less points). The Raptors have been giving up a lot of points to some pretty good offensive teams but this team hasn’t been able to produce offensively itself. It has reached the century mark just once in the last six games and that was a 101-point outing against the Rockets. Five straight home games for Toronto have gone under. We think for this game to go over that either both teams need to get close to or over 100 or one team needs to go way over 100 and we just don’t see that happening. The under is 10-4-2 when the Nets hit the road.
4-Unit Play #508 Take Atlanta -6 Over Utah (7:30 p.m. EST, Friday)
Love the Hawks in this spot as we thought this game would be a bit higher. Atlanta is one of the best home teams in the NBA at 11-2 and they have gotten the job done here ATS as well, at 10-3 ATS for home games. So obviously, when they win they cover and this team has been shackled with some very high lines too. Utah is traditionally a bad road team and they have proven that to be the case this season as well. They are 4-6 ATS on the road both straight up and ATS. Utah is a little overvalued right now because they have had a home-heavy schedule but when they have gone on the road they have been lackluster and besides a win over New Jersey they lost to the T-Wolves and got blown out by the Lakers in their last three road games. The favorite is 12-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
6-Unit NBA Game of the Month #518 Take Oklahoma City -4 1/2 Over Detroit (8 p.m. EST, Friday)
Detroit has lost two in a row and seem to be regressing a bit. They recently had a 5-game win streak but four of those wins came at home and there is only one that we would call a “quality win,” a victory over Denver. The Pistons are banged up and have several key players as questionable tonight but we like the Thunder here even if everyone is a go. They have struggled a bit lately, losing four of their last eight. However, those losses came to Houston, Cleveland, Denver and Dallas and the Thunder were only favored in one of those games. But lately they have been beating the teams they should be beating and we think that is the case tonight. The Thunder have covered in all 12 of their wins this season and we expect that will be the case again tonight. This team has covered five straight in this series and in seven of the last eight meetings.
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Originally Posted by Quadropheniac
