Various cappers. Was a gift from Sportsbook.com we received a free 20 days of picks. Of course I'm going to share with the fam.
THESE ARE PREMIUM PLAYS! NOT THE FREE ONES Sportsbook.com Free Pick's Pick Pack
Premium Plays
Matchup: Wyoming at Fresno St Time: 4:30 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Fresno St (-11 -110) Line Source: SPORTSBOOK Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:40:12 AM EST **8** NEW MEXICO BOWL WINNER *85% ANGLES* Props go out to Wyoming for making a bowl game after being predicted, myself included, to finish either last or second to last in the Mountain West Conference. However the Cowboys are the perfect example why there are too many bowl games and why too many teams that are playing in bowls should not be. Wyoming finished the season 6-6 but one of those wins came against FCS Weber St. so even then the record is skewed. Another win came against New Mexico who finished with only one win on the season. Take away that victory, which was the largest of the season, and the other five wins (including Weber St.), came by a total of 16 points. Not average per game but total overall. On the season Wyoming was outgained by an average of 96.4 ypg and it finished the year going 0-5 against teams that are currently in bowl games. The Cowboys lost those games by a total score of 170-30. We have seen some bad bowl teams in recent years due to the expansion of the bowl circuit but this could be one of the all time worst. I made the mistake of backing Fresno St. last season in the New Mexico Bowl as it was favored over what I thought was a bad Colorado St. team but it ended up losing a very entertaining game by five points, 40-35. The Bulldogs are back again in Albuquerque facing another team from the Mountain West Conference and that loss last season to the Rams will only help it this year. Fresno St. was not a motivated team last year as its season was killed by three early losses by three points each and that completely took the life out of them. They ended up losing to Nevada and Boise St. by big margins and they simply were not happy to be where they were in the postseason and that lack of motivation negated the talent advantage that it has over Colorado St. This year, expectations were lower so coming into the bowl game with an 8-4 record is something they are happy with and they will want to finish out strong. After starting 1-3, the Bulldogs went 7-1 in their final eight games and even though the competition was suspect, the confidence level makes up for that. Two losses on the road came against Wisconsin and Cincinnati and those were by a total of 11 points. Those were good losses indeed. Wyoming is just 2-10 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last three seasons and is it 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games against teams that complete 58 percent or more of their passes. Fresno St. has the big rushing advantage and it is 6-0 ATS in its last six games after gaining more than 200 yards in its previous game. As opposed to last season, Fresno St. gets it done in the postseason. 8* Fresno St. Bulldogs
Handicapper: Matt Fargo
Matchup: Central Florida at Rutgers Time: 8:00 PM EDT (Sat) Play: Central Florida (+3 -110) Line Source: SPORTSBOOK Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:40:12 AM EST The game between Rutgers and Central Florida is one of those classic early bowl hookups where the better team is favored, but the weaker squad has a great chance to win the game and is the value play. Actually, the oddsmakers kind of tipped their hand on this one when they installed UCF as the favorite on the opening number, knowing full well that was going to attract Rutgers money, and that's precisely what has taken place. I totally agree with the assessment of the bookmakers and believe Central Florida will win the game. First off it's a virtual home game for UCF and from what I can gather, there's not a whole lot of pop among the Rutgers fan base over this less than spectacular matchup. The Scarlet Knights would have gotten a more prestigious bid had they not dropped their finale to West Virginia. On the flip side, UCF will be very well supported and the team seems very excited about the challenge. Beyond that, UCF is a bowl underdog that allows fewer than 100 yards per game on the ground, and this has been a huge winning angle for many post-seasons. That means the dog fits both statistically and from a likely motivational standpoint, and those two factors put me squarely on Central Florida plus the points.
Handicapper: Dave Cokin
Matchup: M. Tennessee at So. Miss. Time: 8:30 PM EDT (Sun) Play: So. Miss. (-3.5 -110) Line Source: SPORTSBOOK Posted on: December 17, 2009 @ 11:51:52 AM EST 7 Unit Play. #36 Take Southern Miss over Middle Tennessee State (New Orleans Bowl Sunday 8:30 pm ESPN) This is almost like a home game for the Golden Eagles, as this will be their second straight trip to the Superdome and their fourth visit in the last six years. This was a team that had high expectations for the season with 19 starters back from 2008. They were competitive this year but did suffer five road losses.
As for the Blue Raiders, they will enter this game hot on a six game winning streak. As you look further into this you will see that they played weak conference teams. QB Dasher is a big time playmaker but I question the talent behind him. The Eagles have experience on defense and look for them to contain QB Dasher. The Eagles have the offense to light-up the scoreboard and I just do not believe that the Blue Raiders will be able to keep pace. Southern Miss 42, MTS 28.
vEGAS iNSIDER-Plays posted 12-17
Reply With Quote