*200 New York Knicks +3 (NBA)
*200 Dallas Stars +108 (NHL)
*200 Jacksonville Jaguars +3.5
Let me first say that if the Colts were not undefeated I would grade this play at least a *300.
Tonight we have the trends and public betting siding with one another. However, the line is reversing against both. Currently 75% of the public is wagering on the Colts and the line has dropped a full point. It appears that the "sharps" are betting on the Jags tonight.
What trends are the public betting with: The Jags have not won a game since 1995 in week 15 or greater vs a team on a 2 or more winning streak, they are 0-12 in this situation. The Colts are 6-0 ATS on Thursdays.
We have all heard about the Colts playing every man, going for 13-0 and an undefeated season. That may be true, but would you risk losing Peyton Manning and a chance to win a Super Bowl for a undefeated season? I think we will see 2nd string rookie qb Painter tonight. The Colts have already clinched home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, and appear to have no interest in pursuing a perfect regular season at all costs. Coach Jim Caldwell has indicated all his healthy players will play, but for how long remains to be seen.
Let's not forget about the last meeting between these two teams. Indianapolis made a defensive stand with under 2 minutes remaining to seal a hard-fought 14-12 victory in Week 1.
For the first time this season at home, the Jaguars will be playing in front of a capacity crowd. They have performed well at home despite the lack of support (they are 5-2 this year in Jacksonville), and the increased presence in the stands this week can only help.
Something else to point out for tonight. The Jags will be in 2nd place in the AFC South tonight with a win!
Take the Jags and all the points you can get for the cover!