4.5-STAR – Miami and Orlando Under 202 - Really 202? Why? Yes, these teams have gone over in their last four matchups, but none of those totals were higher than 193. When you look at the results, in only one of their last seven matchups have these teams scored more than 200 combined points. This seems like an awfully big, unjustified jump in a total to us.
Orlando just played last night, in a 118-99 blowout win over To- ronto. In that game, Orlando had 28 assists and only 14 turnovers. The Magic are 0-12 OU (-14.1 ppg) since April 03, 1999 with no rest after a double digit win in which they had an assist to turnover ratio of at least two (team=Magic and rest=0 and 10<=p:margin and p:turnovers*2<=p:assists and 19990403<=date).
Shooting 57.3% from the field is really what made that one a route for the Magic. Orlando is 0-8 OU (-14.8 ppg) since No- vember 26, 2007 as a favorite with at most one day of rest after a double digit win in which they shot at least 55% from the field. These teams last played in the day before Thanksgiving in a nationally televised ESPN game. The Heat came back from a double digit deficit to win, 99-98. The Magic are 0-10 OU (-17.9 ppg) since February 06, 2008 when seeking revenge for a loss in
which they led by double digits. Miami last played Tuesday, also against the Raptors and also a
blowout win, 115-95. They accomplished this despite commit- ting 23 fouls to just 13 for the Raptors. The League is 0-13 OU (-15.4 ppg) since March 17, 2007 as a dog after a double digit win in which they had at least 10 more personal fouls than their opponent.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: MIAMI 94, Orlando 93