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  1. #1

    Default Jeff Benton 12/17

    I’m on a 20-9 roll with my NFL freebies, and that includes a winner last Thursday on the Browns-Steelers UNDER the total (that was a 13-6 final!). Tonight, I expect another low-scoring contest in Jacksonville, so I’ll play the Colts-Jaguars UNDER.

    Obviously, the weather will be quite a bit more pleasant tonight in Jacksonville than it was in frigid Cleveland a week ago. But that doesn’t mean we’re going to see a ton of points. For one thing, we really don’t know how long Peyton Manning and the Colts’ big playmakers will be on the field tonight, seeing that Indy has already clinched the AFC’s #1 seed and home-field advantage throughout the postseason (meaning the Colts’ last three games are, essentially, meaningless).

    Even if Indianapolis coach Jim Caldwell does surprise everyone and let his first-string units go the entire way (I doubt that’ll happen), you have to believe he’s going to play it safe, particularly with his offensive play-calling (meaning there’s a good chance we’ll see more handoffs than usual by Manning). As for the Jaguars, they don’t score much on offense (18.1 ppg, scoring 18 points or less seven times and more than 24 points just twice) and they don’t give up much on defense (allowing 22.1 ppg overall, 19.4 ppg at home and just 16.8 ppg in the last four contests).

    When these teams met in Indy in Week 1, it was a 14-12 final, with the game staying way under the total, and on top of that, the under is 5-1 in the Colts’ last six AFC South games (4-1 this year), 4-0 in Jacksonville’s last four overall and 6-1 in Jacksonville’s last seven December contests.

    Finally, offenses have struggled for the most part in this year’s first seven Thursday NFL games, and you have to believe it’s because of the short week of preparation. Five of those seven Thursday games finished with 32 points or less, and the other two featured 41 points (in warm-weather Carolina) and 46 points (in a dome in Detroit). Regardless, all seven went UNDER the total.

    Throw in the fact that the UNDER has also cashed in six straight Monday Night Football games, and that makes the UNDER on an 12-0 run on Thursday and Monday nights!
    7♦ UNDER (BASED ON A 1♦ TO 10♦ SCALE)

  2. #2

    Default

    what is wrong with people, why the f\*\*k are you posting free plays come on dude

  3. #3

  4. #4

    Default

    ok but there posted on ats edge no need to post them on a forum were all capable of looking at them ourselves

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