I underestimated Michael Redd's effect on the game Wednesday as the Bucks managed to cover against the Lakers, sticking me with a loss on my complimentary selection. But I'm still 42-26 over the past 68 days, including a run of 25-13 over the last 38 days, and I will produce a winner today!

Miami has been one of the worst teams in the NBA on its home court this year among teams with winning records, going just 7-7 SU. And the team is also 5-9 ATS at home, including 1-8 ATS in its last nine games at AmericanAirlines Arena.

Meanwhile, Orlando is 10-4 SU on the road (8-6 ATS), and has won eight of its last 10 games away from home.

Magic star Dwight Howard had 21 points and 23 rebounds Monday against Indiana, and has recorded four straight double-doubles. He was repeatedly hacked by Pacers players in that game, and seems to be getting quite tired of the treatment. I expect him to play with a giant chip on his shoulder tonight and make the Heat pay the price for the physical play.

The Magic are 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings between the clubs, including 5-2 ATS in the last seven games in Miami. Take Orlando to cover the points today as a road favorite.
4♦ ORLANDO