Game: Montreal at New Jersey (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total OVER 5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)
The Montreal Canadiens have been turning it up on the offensive end. They have now scored 20 goals in their last six games or 3.33 per
contest. That is a marked improvement from their 26 goals in the previous 13 games, where they were posting just two per night. The Devils have been offensive themselves, tallying 55 in their last 17, or 3.2 per game. That is up from their 36 goals over their first 14 games by a considerable margin as well. This is a low total where we have two teams peaking in offensive efficiency right now, so I'll play this one to go OVER.
Pick: 3 units on Florida -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Atlanta Thrashers have played well at home this season and they beat Florida on the road in a shootout by the score of 2-1, so I look for the Panthers to be looking to settle that score in this one. The Panthers will be looking to carry the momentum from their best game of the year when they obliterated the Islanders 7-1. While the Thrashers have done well at home, they have now dropped three of their last four on the road, and Florida is in a role that they have thrived in as they are 13-5 in their last 18 as a favorite. I like Florida who is playing better in this role and with revenge, they win this one.
Game: Buffalo at Ottawa (7:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Ottawa +100 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3)
The Ottawa Senators will be glad to get back home. They have not fared well on the road this season and have played seven of their last nine on the road, and it sure makes them look like they are not playing well. The difference is they have won six of their last seven on home ice. The Sabres have been a competent road team, taking the first two on their current road trip, but will have a tough task vs. an Ottawa team that loves stepping up against big-time teams as the Senators are a blistering 25-10-2 in their last 37 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of .600 or higher. It won't help the Sabres knowing that they are 7-20 in their last 27 trips to Ottawa as well as having dropped the last four here. I'll go with Ottawa.
Game: St. Louis at Chicago (8:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -130 (risk 3 to win 2.3)
The Blackhawks have put up an impressive 13-3-1 mark at home through 17 games this season. One reason is that over their last 11 home games, they have allowed just 19 goals or 1.7 per game. That makes it very likely they will have to score four or more here to push this one over the total - something they have done just four times in their last 13 home games. Their offense has been poor recently, having scored 2 or fewer goals in seven of their last ten games. St. Louis is 20-8-4 to the UNDER in their last 32 played vs. an opponent that allowed two or fewer in their last game, while Chicago has played UNDER in 10 of their last 12 home games. These teams have also played to the UNDER in their last four meetings. I expect more of the same here and will go with the UNDER in this one.
Game: Anaheim at Vancouver (10:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 5.5 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)
The Ducks have done a stellar job at home, but have found it very difficult to score on the road as they have managed just 21 goals in their last 10 road games. They will not find a cure here vs. a Vancouver team that has allowed just 29 goals in their last 16 at home or 1.8 per game. The Ducks’ scoring liabilities on the road has translated to eight of their last 11 on the road going UNDER, as well as five of their last six as a dog. The Canucks are carrying the UNDER to a 5-1-1 record in their last seven as a home favorite of -151 to -200. It is likely that one team will do the scoring here, so I'll play this one UNDER.
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Originally Posted by Guru
