Game: Charlotte at Indiana (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 2 units on Game Total OVER 192 -110 (risk 2 to win 1.8)
The Charlotte Bobcats scored 59 points in their opener, and I think that performance still lingers in the oddsmakers’ eyes especially since they opened the season averaging just 81.9 points per game without overtime. They have really changed from that team that was deficient offensively, to one that has averaged 98 ppg in their last 11 since. That bodes well for the OVER here against an Indiana team that likes to get up-and-down the floor. The Pacers don't see too many totals posted under 200, but when they do they usually topple them. They are 3-1 already this year and 3-1 in the last four a year ago. The Bobcats have played OVER in their last four as a dog, and I like this one to go OVER the total.
Game: Dallas at Oklahoma City (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Oklahoma City +2 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The Oklahoma City Thunder is still under the radar despite the fact they are 12-11 on the season. It's hard to escape the team that went 2-25 to open the season a year ago, but have improved dramatically. This is a team that took the Lakers to overtime at home, and thrashed Orlando here by 26 points, so they are definitely capable of the win here. Oklahoma City played Dallas tough in all three games last year as they lost by just four in Dallas, won by nine at home, and lost a game in OT here. The Mavs have not been excellent in this spot as a small favorite of up to 4.5, they are just 9-19 ATS in their last 28, and the Thunder have been roaring back after a loss to go 38-16 ATS. I like Oklahoma City in this one.
Game: Houston at Denver (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Houston +8.5 (-110) (risk 4 to win 3.6)
The Denver Nuggets started a roll last year at home and kept right on going into this season, where they are off to an 11-1 start. The problem this creates is the that oddsmakers are aware and begin to shade the line, realizing everyone is going to be looking to play on them. As a result, the value begins to go the other way. The other problem is that Houston is very tough on the road vs. superior teams. They beat the Lakers by 10, and went to another pretty tough place to play - Utah, and beat the Jazz by 17 points. They won at Oklahoma City, played Portland to within one, and Atlanta to within two. So as good as Denver has been at home, Houston has been more than up to the task on the road, and getting a bundle here is value on the visitor. I'll go with Houston here.