NFL KEY RELEASES
NEW ORLEANS over Atlanta, RATING: 2
DENVER over Indianapolis, RATING: 3
CINCINNATI over Minnesota, RATING: 4
BUFFALO over Kansas City, RATING: 5
NEW ENGLAND over Carolina, RATING: 5
New Orleans 34 - ATLANTA 17 - (1:00) -- Saints nearly let it get away, before semi-miraculous win over 'Skins, in which they allowed 28 FDs & 455 yds to NFL's 25th ranked "O". Brees last 2 wks: 35-of-49 & 7/1. Now 29/10 for the year. Saints barely got past Falcons in 1st meeting, but Atlanta was healthy for that encounter, & are presently going it without either Ryan or Turner, suffering 1st home loss in 34-7 debacle vs the Eagles. Falcs just 90, 75, & 61 RYs last 3 wks. Saints a 13-4 ATS division RF, & won first division RG, by a 38-7 score.
INDIANAPOLIS 27 - Denver 24 - (1:00) -- It continues. Colts now 21-0 SU in
regular season play, tying the all-time record set by the '06-'08 Pats. But thru it all, not many cakewalks. As a matter of fact, LW's 27-17 win marked Indy's largest margin since Oct. Enter the Broncos, who've been the epitome of the streak squad all year. Check 383-151 RY edge past 2 wks. Interesting sidebar shows that LY, Orton led Chicago to a 29-13 win over the Colts in the first game ever played in Lucas Oil Stadium. The visitor is 16-5 ATS during this Indy run.
MINNESOTA 22 - Cincinnati 19 - (1:00) -- Well, Favre's dream season took a decided turn for the worse in LW's embarrassing loss to the Cardinals. A quick 7-0 lead turned into a 30-10 deficit, before a meaningless TD in the final 1:20. Brett: just 3 INTs in his first 11 games, but picked off twice & sacked 3 times by 'Zona. And check Peterson: just 19 RYs on 13 carries. Should regroup here, but Cincy is 9-2 SU lately, & 6th in total "D". And the dog is a perfect 11-0 ATS in Bengal games TY. And Minny is 0-10 ATS play as a favorite off being upset.
Buffalo 23 - KANSAS CITY 16 - (1:00) -- Two teams going nowhere. Bills still can't contain the run, allowing >100 RYs in each of their last 10 games, while averaging only 12.3 ppg in 9 of their last 10 tilts. But the Chiefs have seen their 3-gm ATS run snapped with a pair of losses by strikingly similar 43-14, 44-13 scores. And Cassel benched LW: 10-of-29; 2 INTs; & QB rating of 14.2. These 2 ceded 249 & 245 RYs LW, but the visitor is 15-4 & 26-12 ATS in their games. KC hasn't covered as a chalk since '06. Bills 13-1 ATS as RDs vs <.500 foes.
NEW ENGLAND 41 - Carolina 17 - (1:00) -- We are fully aware of the fact that the DD chalk ruled for the first half of this NFL season, but not so over the last month or so. Still, catching the Pats off their first 2-game losing streak in more than 3 years isn't the healthiest of propositions for the Panthers. No Delhomme or DeAngelo for Carolina in its win over the Bucs, despite a 469-309 yd deficit (5 picks). Pats are13-3 ATS off a SU chalk loss, as well as 43-17 ATS as a non-division HF. And they won thier last non-division HG 59-0 (491⁄2 pt cover).