[LLXC]

Key Releases:
NEW YORK JETS by 14 over Tampa Bay
MIAMI by 10 over Jacksonville
UNDER THE TOTAL in the Carolina-New England game

NY Jets 26 - TAMPA BAY 12—Both of these pick-prone rookie QBs (Tampa Bay’s Josh Freeman and NY’s Mark Sanchez, the latter expected to be available after spraining knee vs. Bills) are capable of single-handedly wrecking their team’s chances, but trust Sanchez’ veteran supporting cast much more. Jets can rely upon RBs Thomas Jones (1068 YR) & emerging Iowa rookie Shonn Greene to take lots of pressure off Sanchez, while Rex Ryan’s signature blitzes should unnerve Freeman, whose 5 picks proved deadly last week at Carolina. If Sanchez can’t go, NY loses little if Kellen Clemens summoned from bullpen. At short price, can’t trust T.B., which has lost 15 of last 16 SU since last December.
(05-NY JETS +2' 14-12...SR: NY Jets 8-1)

Miami 27 - JACKSONVILLE 17—Jags used a quick hit and some rather anonymous players to knock off Houston last week. Second-year DE Derrick Harvey sacked and injured QB Matt Schaub on the Texans’ first play, knocking him from the game for a substantial period. For Jacksonville, rookie WR Mike Thomas (Arizona) had 3 catches, rookie TE Zach Miller (converted Nebraska-Omaha QB) had 3 more, and first-year WR Nate Hughes (Alcorn State) had a 35-yard TDC. But Miami, now 6-6 after an 0-3 start, is also thinking playoffs, and young QB Chad Henne’s confidence restored after his 335-yard output last week to come from behind to topple the Patriots. Jags 0-9 last 9 as a home favorite!
(2009 Preseason: Miami -3 beat Jacksonville 12-9 at Miami) (06-Jacksonville +1 24-10...SR: Jacksonville 3-1)

UNDER THE TOTAL NEW ENGLAND 27 - Carolina 7—Insiders report former UCLA/Oregon State QB Matt Moore is laid-back and confident. And why not, considering he is 3-1 SU (4-0 vs. the spread) as an NFL as a starter with Carolina. After all, Jake Delhomme (finger fracture; check his status and that of RB DeAngelo Williams) had accumulated 18 ints. vs. only 8 TDP in the Panthers’ first 11 games. Last week’s come-from-ahead loss at Miami puts New England’s AFC East lead in jeopardy. But Pats 5-0 SU and 4-1 vs. the spread as a home favorite TY. Low-scoring Panthers “under” 5 of their last 7. (05-CAROLINA +3 27-17...SR: EVEN 2-2)

[LLXC]

Key Releases:
DETROIT Plus over Michigan (Sunday, December 13, Day Game)

Detroit 63 - MICHIGAN 65—Midwest sources suggest keeping an eye
on Ray McCallum’s emerging Detroit bunch that is off to best start (6-2 thru Dec. 7) since Titans’ NCAA team 11 years ago. A now-healthy 6-7 F Keeling is keying Motor City renaissance along with srs. F Kennedy & PG Payne, while 6- 9 Indiana transfer Holman (who has missed recent action with knee problems) likely returning soon. Recent 3-game losing streak indicates Michigan not yet ready for primetime (as HC Beilein warned), with consistent third scoring option yet to emerge alongside G Harris & F Sims. 08-DNP