3-STAR Seattle +6 over HOUSTON - We all want to think the Texans are the significantly better of these two teams. There is tal- ent on the Texans. Unfortunately they’re just not better than average. This is a matchup of two mediocre teams and you’re going to want to grab the points in this one.
The Texans come into this one deflated as losers of four straight after having their playoff hopes dashed last week at Jacksonville. The Seahawks are 9-0 ATS (9.4 ppg) in database history (since 1989) as a road dog with a total of more than 32 when their opponent is on a 3+ game losing streak (team=Seahawks and AD and total>32 and o:streak<=-3).
Seattle won last against San Francisco, 20-17, prevailing in the fourth quarter after being tied after each of the three quarters. The Seahawks are 7-0 ATS (8.5 ppg) since December 06, 1992 as a road dog the week after a win in which they did not have the lead after any of the first three quarters (team=Seahawks and AD and NB and p:W and p:M1<=0 and p:M2<=0 and p:M3<=0 and 19921206<=date). Also, the League is 10-0-1 ATS (8.2 ppg) since December 10, 2006 on the road the week after a win at home when the line was within 3 of pick’em in which they did not have the lead after any of the first three quarters (A and p:HW and -3<=p:line<=3 and p:M1<=0 and p:M2<=0 and p:M3<=0 and 20061210<=date).
The line in that game was a pick, meaning that Seattle covered by three. Seattle is 10-0 ATS (14.2 ppg) since December 27 ,2003, as not more than a TD+ underdog when they covered by three or fewer points last week (team=Seahawks and line<=7 and 0 Both these teams need to win out to have an playoff hopes. We expect a game like this to come down to a field goal either way.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: HOUSTON 21, Seattle 20

4-STAR Buffalo and KANSAS CITY Over 37.5 – Looking at recently results, both of these teams have defenses that have been spotty at best. With each passing game needing a bit of a confidence boost, look for both teams to try to build confidence by passing the ball early and taking advantage of defensive weaknesses.
Buffalo has allowed more yards per carry, 4.93, than any other team in the league this year. The Chiefs are 10-0 OU (7.0 ppg) since October 28, 2001 at home when facing a team that has allowed more than 4.47 yards per carry season-to-date (team=Chiefs and H and 4.47 This is the second straight home game for the Chiefs after they lost 44-13 as a home dog last week. Kansas City is 7-0 OU (17.2 ppg) since November 28, 2004 at home after playing at home as a dog. (team=Chiefs and H and p:HD and 20041128<=date).
This is a non-conference game and that’s been important for both teams. The Chiefs are 10-0-1 OU (13.2 ppg) since October 14, 2007 at home vs a non-divisional opponent (team=Chiefs and H and NDIV and 20071014<=date). Also, the Bills are 10-0 OU (10.0 ppg) since October 26, 1997 as a dog with a total of at least 32 vs a non- divisional opponent when they faced divisional opponents in each of the previous two weeks.(team=Bills and total>=32 and D and NDIV and pIV and ppIV and 19971026<=date).
Last week, the Bills lost to the Jets, 19-13, on Thursday. The Bills only committed one penalty in that entire game. Buffalo is 9-0 OU (20.2 ppg) since November 23, 1997 as a dog with a total under 40 the week after a straight up loss as a dog in which they had at least 3 fewer penalties than their season-to-date average.
Both these teams are out of contention and will not be 100% motivated defensively. Both Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matt Cassell have something to prove and expect them to try to do it here.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: KANSAS CITY 24, Buffalo 21