[LLXC]

130 DAL -3.0 (-110)

Analysis: This is my ONE AND ONLY NFL Game of the Year Release

I'm going to grade this as a 4* (Four-Star) Release- My ONLY 4*

[LLXC]

I absolutely love how this one is shaping up- and I see GREAT VALUE getting Dallas at -3 in this spot on Sunday. San Diego has ripped off 7 straight wins & are the "darlings" of the NFL right now- as they are the "hot and sheek" team right. The Public is pounding the Chargers to a 70%, and they will keep betting them all week and right up until kick-off, as the whole world knows about the struggles the Cowboys have had in December. Dallas is a whole different animal at home in their new stadium- and I have backed them with Top Plays in blowout Wins over Atlanta and on Thanksgiving over Oakland. Taking a closer peek at some of the Chargers wins during their 7 game win streak- we see they have two wins over KC, one win over the Browns, one win over Oakland & finally a win over a Broncos club who was playing without their starting QB Kyle Orton. Also of importance here for San Diego- is the faœct they are playing their 3rd road game in 4 weeks, and clearly Dallas & their fans will be extremely fired up for this game, coming off the loss at the NYG last week, in a game they easily could have won- but they let it get away late in the game. This game and line sets up perfect IMO- with the Cowboys laying only a field goal AT HOME due to the Chargers (7 game win streak) and the fact that Dallas is coming off a loss and public knowledge of their "December Struggles"....Bottomline for me here- I really look for Another VERY STRONG all around game from the Cowboys in this spot and I think the Chargers have more then their hands full vs a very pissed off and motivated Cowboys team on Sunday. Lay the short number here with the Cowboys on Sunday fellas

[bill2266]

is goodfella a solid capper

[MidnightOil]

I am big on motivational edges, especially in pro sports. Dallas certainly needs the game more than San Diego, as San Diego is sitting pretty for at the very least a wild card. However, I am not sure the motivation edge will be so big for Dallas because the San Diego media has made a big deal of this being Wade Phillips vs Norv Turner. Norv wants this game & his team wants it for Norv, to help quiet those who still think the Chargers made a big mistake in letting Wade Phillips get away just prior to hiring Norv Turner. This will be a hard fought game & I cannot back a big play on Dallas, especially when considering their horrible showings in recent December's.

[broadway6]

Another tout on the Cowboys....

[scottel]

GF is good........top plays are few but usually $$

[RITZ]

agree Goodfella is good/not a tout as he holds picks only to the very best vs volume betting and gets steady results.

[LLXC]

HOUSTON TEXANS -6

Love the situation we have here for this ballgame. We have a Texans team on a lenghty losing streak- KNOWING they can get a win here vs this Seattle ballclub. I really believe we are getting some solid line value with the Texans here-due to their extended losing streak coming into this ballgame. Seattle is a TERRIBLE ROAD TEAM playing a EARLY game when changing time zones- and thats exactly the situation we have here for this ballgame. Seattle really struggles vs passing teams- and I expect Houston to have much success in the passing game vs this Seattle secondary. I fully expect Houston to get this game in this spot- and I look for a double digit winner out of them on Sunday. Lay the points with the Texans guys.