Dallas (15-7, 12-10 ATS) at Miami (11-9, 10-10 ATS)
The Mavericks will try to make it seven straight wins over the Heat when these two square off inside the American Airlines Arena in Miami.
Dallas hasn’t lost to the Heat since their NBA Finals matchup in 2006, winning six straight but going just 2-3-1 ATS. The Mavericks went to Miami and scored a 111-96 win last season, easily cashing as two-point road favorites. They have won three straight in Miami (2-1 ATS) and gone 4-1-1 ATS in their last six trips to South Beach. Furthermore, Dallas is 11-5-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings and the road team is on a 7-0-1 ATS run in this Rivalry.
Dallas edged the Suns on Tuesday, winning 102-101 but coming up short as a 4½-point home chalk. The Mavs have dropped two of their last three games (0-3 ATS). They are only managing 96 points a game in their last five contests, more than five points behind their overall average of 101.7.
Miami wrapped up a 2-2 road trip (3-1 ATS) with Sunday’s 115-102 drubbing of Sacramento as a 1½-point chalk. Miami has had trouble scoring at home this season, where they are just 4-7 ATS, averaging just 94.1 points a game and shooting just 31.3 percent from beyond the three-point line.
The Mavericks are just 1-5 ATS in their last six overall and 0-4 ATS in their last four against Southeast Division teams, but they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games after getting two days off and 6-2 ATS in their last eight on the road. The Heat are on ATS slides of 4-9 overall, 0-6 at home, 2-7-1 against Southwest Division teams and 4-13 after getting three or more days off.
Dallas has stayed below the total in four straight against Southeast Division teams, but it is on “over” runs of 6-1 on the road, 4-1 on the road against teams with winning home records and 7-1 against Eastern Conference teams. Miami has topped the total in eight of 11 overall and five of six against Western Conference squads, but it is on “under” streaks of 10-4 at home, 16-5 after a straight-up win, 13-3 after a spread-cover and 11-3 against Southwest Division squads. Finally, the “under” has been the play in five of the last seven meetings between these two squads.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
Portland (14-9, 11-12 ATS) at Cleveland (15-7, 11-11 ATS)
The Cavaliers are looking to snap a two-game losing streak when they welcome the Trail Blazers into Quicken Loans Arena.
Cleveland lost back-to-back games on the road Tuesday and Wednesday, falling in Memphis 111-109 in overtime as a 7½-point favorite on Tuesday and following it up with Wednesday’s 95-85 loss in Houston as a three-point chalk. The Cavs had won seven of eight overall and four straight before the brief road trip. They are on a six-game home winning streak.
Portland has alternated wins and losses over its last four games, including Wednesday’s 102-91 win in Indianapolis, cashing as a four-point road favorite. The victory snapped a six-game ATS losing streak for the Blazers, who had also dropped four of five SU.
The Cavaliers have won four straight (3-1 ATS) in this series and eight of the last 10 (7-3 ATS). They scored a 97-92 home win in overtime last season but came up short as a 10½-point favorite. Cleveland is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 series clashes, including 5-1 ATS in front of the home fans.
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last six against Central Division teams and 8-2 ATS on Friday, but it is on pointspread slides of 1-6 overall, 1-4 on the road, 2-6 after a day off and 6-13 as a road ‘dog. The Cavaliers are on ATS runs of 19-7 on Fridays, 10-3 against Northwest Division foes, 36-17 after a straight-up loss and 8-1 against teams with winning records.
The Blazers are on a plethora of “under” streaks, including 12-5 on the road, 9-4 after a spread-cover, 4-1 on Fridays and 7-2 on the road against teams with winning home records. Cleveland has stayed below the total in four of five overall (all as a favorite), but it is on “over” runs of 4-1-1 after an ATS loss and 4-1 at home against teams with winning road records. In this series, the “under” is 4-2 in the last six matchups.
ATS ADVANTAGE: CLEVELAND
Orlando (17-5, 13-9 ATS) at Phoenix (15-7, 12-10 ATS)
The Suns will try to remain perfect at home this season as they take on the Magic at the US Airways Center.
Phoenix opened the season with seven straight home wins (3-3-1 ATS) but they’ve dropped four of their last five overall, including two in a row. So far this week, the Suns got crushed at the Lakers on Sunday, losing 108-88 and coming up well short as a 9½-point underdog, then fell 102-101 in Dallas on Tuesday, though they snapped a four-game ATS losing streak as they cashed as a 4½-point ‘dog.
Orlando had its six-game overall (4-2 ATS) and eight-game (6-2 ATS) road winning streaks snapped in Utah on Thursday, losing 120-111 to the Jazz as a 2½-point road favorite. The Magic tighten up the defense on the road, limiting the opposition to 93.6 points a game.
Orlando has already crushed Phoenix once this season, scoring a 122-100 home win back on Nov. 4, cashing as a 7½-point favorite. The Magic have won and covered two straight over the Suns after losing the previous six meetings (4-2 ATS), and they have cashed in each of the last four played in the desert. Additionally, the visitor is riding a 6-2 ATS streak in this series with the ‘dog cashing in 13 of the last 18 meetings.
Despite Thursday’s setback in Utah, the Magic continue to sport several ATS hot streaks, including 7-4 overall, 14-5 against Pacific Division teams, 40-17-1 as an underdog, 5-1 on Friday and 35-16-2 as road ‘dogs. Phoenix is just 1-4 ATS in its last five overall, but it is on positive pointspread runs of 11-5 at home, 16-7-1 as a home chalk, 6-2 after two days off and 7-1-1 on Friday.
The “over” is 5-1 in Orlando’s last six overall and 4-1 in its last five when playing the second night of a back-to-back, but the team is also on several “under” streaks, including 10-5 on the road, 4-0 as an underdog and 10-5 against the Western Conference. The Suns have gone over the posted number in five of eight Friday games, but they are on “under” streaks of 9-1-2 overall, 4-0-1 against the Eastern Conference and 9-2 against the Southeast Division. Finally, in this series, the over is 9-3 in the last 12 clashes, with the last five in a row in Arizona topping the posted total.