A nice spot for the Packers, returning home off Thanksgiving Day win at Detroit to host the Ravens, off a playoff-loss revenge win at home over the Steelers. Aside from Baltimore’s 1-4 SU and ATS record after the Steelers when facing winning teams, they face the ‘Mike Tomlin’ factor head-on in this fray. That’s because teams are 9-16 SU and 6-19 ATS in games after facing Tomlin’s troops, including 2-6 SU and 1-7 ATS for AFC North teams. Meanhwile, the Packers are 7-1 in their last eight games 'in The Stats', with the only loss by four yards to the Vikings. They are also 9-1 ATS in December home games with a .500 or greater record when off back-to-back wins. The clincher comes from our database as it tells us to: Play On any Monday night non-division home dog or favorite of five or less points off a division road win. That’s because these teams are 12-1 SU and 12-0-1 ATS if they are off a win of more than seven points and the Over/Under total in the game is 38 or more points. Back the Pack here tonight. We recommend a 3-unit play on Green Bay.
Marc Lawrence 12/7
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